Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden, 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at MCH Arena (Herning), with Juxhin Xhaja, Albania officiating. The odds point to FC Midtjylland (53%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: St. Truiden win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): St. Truiden lose by 1. Loses: St. Truiden lose by 2 or more.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Midtjylland lie 34th, having collected 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L); St. Truiden lie 10th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
What to expect
In our view FC Midtjylland hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the St. Truiden, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: FC Midtjylland 0, St. Truiden 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Midtjylland: no absences. St. Truiden will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.84 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.76 | 3.94 | 4.14 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.75 | 3.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.26 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 1–1 St. Truiden, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 34th (1 point), St. Truiden 10th (7 points).
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 0, St. Truiden 0.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: injuries and missing players
FC Midtjylland
- No reported absences
St. Truiden
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
FC Midtjylland
Home and away
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: last matches of both teams
FC Midtjylland
St. Truiden
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden +0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our estimate gives FC Midtjylland a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Truiden 23%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue MCH Arena, Herning. Referee: Juxhin Xhaja, Albania.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: no absences. St. Truiden: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.9%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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