Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Stayen (Sint- Truiden), St. Truiden take on OH Leuven, with Michiel Allaerts, Belgium in charge. We make St. Truiden (56%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. St. Truiden lie 15th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); OH Leuven lie 14th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, St. Truiden average 1.9 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.8 against for OH Leuven.
- Form in the competition. St. Truiden: 2W 2D 5L, goals 17–19; OH Leuven: 1W 3D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. In 20 previous meetings, St. Truiden have taken 7 wins to OH Leuven's 7 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 26–29.
What to expect
In our view St. Truiden hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 20; St. Truiden 7 wins, 6 draws, OH Leuven 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: St. Truiden 17–19, OH Leuven 8–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.68). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for St. Truiden: no absences. OH Leuven will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.72 | 4.30 | 4.95 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 4.02 | 4.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.62 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.65 | 2.54 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:16. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: St. Truiden 15th (8 points), OH Leuven 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: St. Truiden 2W 2D 5L (17:19), OH Leuven 1W 3D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 20 matches: St. Truiden 7W 6D 7L, goals 26–29.
- Absences: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.
Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: injuries and missing players
St. Truiden
- No reported absences
OH Leuven
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège | 11 | 4-3-4 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3-1-7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 | St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
St. Truiden
Home and away
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: last matches of both teams
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
St. TruidenLLLLLOH LeuvenWDDWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Over 2.5 goals (1.68); St. Truiden to win (1.72).
Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Our estimate gives St. Truiden a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and OH Leuven 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 15:00, venue Stayen, Sint- Truiden. Referee: Michiel Allaerts, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
St. Truiden: no absences. OH Leuven: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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