Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Estoril, 31 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão (Porto), with Miguel Bertolo Nogueira officiating. The odds point to FC Porto (80%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: FC Porto win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): FC Porto win by 1. Loses: a draw, FC Porto lose.
FC Porto vs Estoril: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Porto lie 1st, having collected 30 points after 10 matches (10W 0D 0L); Estoril lie 18th, having collected 2 points (0W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Porto average 2.3 goals for and 0.4 against, compared with 0.6 for and 1.7 against for Estoril.
- Form in the competition. FC Porto: 9W 0D 0L, goals 21–4; Estoril: 0W 2D 7L, goals 5–15.
- Head to head. In 25 previous meetings, FC Porto have taken 18 wins to Estoril's 4 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 56–21.
What to expect
In our view FC Porto hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (13.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.21), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 41%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 25; FC Porto 18 wins, 3 draws, Estoril 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Porto 21–4, Estoril 5–15.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 59%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Porto: no absences. Estoril will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Porto vs Estoril: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.21 | 8.05 | 18.00 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.11 | 15.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.14 | 5.32 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.51 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.50 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 14:10. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Estoril, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Porto 1st (30 points), Estoril 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Porto 9W 0D 0L (21:4), Estoril 0W 2D 7L (5:15).
- H2H: 25 matches: FC Porto 18W 3D 4L, goals 56–21.
- Absences: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Porto vs Estoril: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Porto vs Estoril: injuries and missing players
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Estoril
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6-2-3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicão | 11 | 3-4-4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
FC Porto
Home and away
FC Porto vs Estoril: last matches of both teams
FC Porto
Estoril
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FC PortoWWWWWEstorilLLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Porto vs Estoril?
FC Porto -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.67).
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
Our estimate gives FC Porto a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Estoril 6%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 20:30, venue Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Referee: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
Who will be missing?
FC Porto: no absences. Estoril: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.73).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 41% (odds 2.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (13.8%), then 3–0 (11.9%) and 1–0 (10.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.