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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FC Thun2.06
XDraw3.96
2Heart Of Midlothian3.63

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 16:16

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Thun welcome Heart Of Midlothian on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stockhorn Arena (Thun), and the referee is Kyriakos Athanasiou, Cyprus. FC Thun (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Heart Of Midlothian +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Heart Of Midlothian win, a draw. Loses: Heart Of Midlothian lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.47
Chance 65% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Thun or draw (1X) at a probability of 72%, with odds of up to 1.34.
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FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. FC Thun lie 20th, having collected 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L); Heart Of Midlothian lie 32nd, having collected 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Thun average 0.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.8 against for Heart Of Midlothian.
  3. Form in the competition. FC Thun: 0W 0D 2L, goals 0–2; Heart Of Midlothian: 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–7.

What to expect

In our view FC Thun hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.47), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Thun 0–2, Heart Of Midlothian 6–7.
  2. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
  3. Unavailable: FC Thun 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for FC Thun: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.063.963.63
Market average1.983.763.39
Lowest odds1.923.503.11
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1481.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5162.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.602.4737.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.302.2442.1%
BTTS – yes1.471.4464.5%
BTTS – no2.882.6135.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:16. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Thun 20th (3 points), Heart Of Midlothian 32nd (1 point).
  • Form in the competition: FC Thun 0W 0D 2L (0:2), Heart Of Midlothian 1W 2D 1L (6:7).
  • Absences: FC Thun 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

FC Thun47%
Draw25%
Heart Of Midlothian28%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.9% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
FC Thun or draw (1X)72.3% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.34
Likely
Both teams to score: yes64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.47
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.67
Possible
FC Thun to win47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.06
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.9% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.60
Outsider
Both teams to score: no35.5% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.88
Outsider
Heart Of Midlothian to win27.7% · fair odds 3.61 · best 3.63
Outsider
Draw25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.79 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.2%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.4%
1 : 07.7%
1 : 27.0%
2 : 06.9%
2 : 26.3%

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: injuries and missing players

FC Thun

  • No reported absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

FC Thun

5 NovWFC Thun 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLFC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
15 OctLTwente 1–0 FC Thun

Heart Of Midlothian

5 NovLFC Thun 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Home and away

FC Thun at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–2
Heart Of Midlothian away2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–5

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: last matches of both teams

FC Thun

L 22/10/26 · FC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
L 15/10/26 · Twente 1–0 FC Thun

Heart Of Midlothian

D 28/10/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
W 25/10/26 · Motherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
L 22/10/26 · Trabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
L 18/10/26 · Celtic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Team comparison

FC ThunHeart Of Midlothian
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
78%Defence22%
78.0%Overall22.0%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

FC ThunWLL
Heart Of MidlothianLLD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Heart Of Midlothian +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.47).

Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our estimate gives FC Thun a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Heart Of Midlothian 28%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Referee: Kyriakos Athanasiou, Cyprus.

Who will be missing?

FC Thun: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.60).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.47).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (7.7%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.