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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Getafe vs Brighton: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

0–1
1Getafe6.50
XDraw4.30
2Brighton1.62

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe), Getafe take on Brighton, with Filip Glova, Slovakia in charge. We make Brighton (61%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Getafe vs Brighton: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.96
Chance 51% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Brighton to win
1.62
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
Brighton with over 2.5 goals
2.70
37% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Brighton (X2) at a probability of 84%, with odds of up to 1.17.
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Getafe vs Brighton: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Getafe lie 31st, having collected 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L); Brighton lie 5th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Getafe average 1.8 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 2.0 for and 0.0 against for Brighton.
  3. Form in the competition. Getafe: 1W 1D 2L, goals 7–9; Brighton: 2W 2D 0L, goals 8–0.

What to expect

In our view Brighton hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.85), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: Getafe 7–9, Brighton 8–0.
  2. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
  3. Unavailable: Getafe 0, Brighton 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.96). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Getafe: no absences. Brighton will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Getafe vs Brighton: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available6.504.301.62
Market average6.014.041.55
Lowest odds5.503.801.49
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2674.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.961.8750.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.981.9349.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.1929.5%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Getafe 31st (1 point), Brighton 5th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Getafe 1W 1D 2L (7:9), Brighton 2W 2D 0L (8:0).
  • Absences: Getafe 0, Brighton 0.

Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?

Getafe16%
Draw23%
Brighton61%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Getafe vs Brighton: more betting tips

Draw or Brighton (X2)84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.1% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.5% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.39
Likely
Brighton to win60.8% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.62
Likely
Both teams to score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.96
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams to score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.5% · fair odds 3.39 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw23.4% · fair odds 4.27 · best 4.30
Outsider
Getafe to win15.7% · fair odds 6.35 · best 6.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.7%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.85 · Under 1.90
probability of over 50.8%

Correct score tips

0 : 112.4%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.1%
0 : 06.7%

Getafe vs Brighton: injuries and missing players

Getafe

  • No reported absences

Brighton

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

Getafe

5 NovLGetafe 0–1 Brighton
1 NovWGetafe 3–1 Sevilla
25 OctLAthletic Club 4–0 Getafe
22 OctLGetafe 2–5 FC Lugano
19 OctDGetafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

Brighton

5 NovWGetafe 0–1 Brighton
31 OctWManchester City 0–1 Brighton
25 OctLLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctWBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

Home and away

Getafe at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–6
Brighton away2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 1–0

Getafe vs Brighton: last matches of both teams

Getafe

W 1/11/26 · Getafe 3–1 Sevilla
L 25/10/26 · Athletic Club 4–0 Getafe
L 22/10/26 · Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano
D 19/10/26 · Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

Brighton

W 31/10/26 · Manchester City 0–1 Brighton
L 25/10/26 · Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
D 22/10/26 · FK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
W 18/10/26 · Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

Team comparison

GetafeBrighton
33%Form67%
47%Attack53%
0%Defence100%
100%Head to head0%
100%Goals0%
40.0%Overall60.0%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

GetafeLLD
BrightonWDW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Getafe vs Brighton?

Over 2.5 goals (1.96); Brighton to win (1.62).

Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?

Our estimate gives Getafe a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brighton 61%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Filip Glova, Slovakia.

Who will be missing?

Getafe: no absences. Brighton: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.96) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.98).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.95).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–1 (12.4%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.