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Eliteserien · Matchweek 26 · 8 November 2026 · 18:15

Fredrikstad vs Brann: prediction, odds and betting tip – 8 November 2026, Eliteserien

VS
WLLLW
1Fredrikstad2.65
XDraw3.85
2Brann2.51

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 04:07

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Our tip for Fredrikstad vs Brann (Eliteserien, 8 November 2026, 18:15): Brann +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.89. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.45. The bookmakers' odds give Fredrikstad 36%, the draw 25% and Brann 39%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Brann +0 (Asian handicap)
1.89
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Brann win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Brann lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.45
Chance 65% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
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Fredrikstad vs Brann preview and prediction

Can Brann keep their scoring going on the road in Fredrikstad, or will the home side's recent defeats show up again? We have been weighing that question for the Eliteserien match at Fredrikstad Stadion on 8 November 2026, kick-off 18:15, and we think the answer leans one way.

The key facts

  • Likely result: Fredrikstad 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Fredrikstad 11th (29 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
  • Form in the competition: Fredrikstad 8W 5D 12L (29:44), Brann 10W 2D 13L (45:42).
  • H2H: 8 matches: Fredrikstad 2W 0D 6L, goals 7–20.
  • Absences: Fredrikstad 0, Brann 0.

Is Brann's better form enough to win in Fredrikstad?

Brann are seventh with 32 points after 25 matches, while Fredrikstad sit 11th on 29 from the same number of fixtures. Those are the standings for this competition alone. Brann have 10 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats, and Fredrikstad have 8 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats. The home and away breakdown is where things get more interesting. Fredrikstad have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats at home, so they do not fold when playing before their own supporters. Away from home, Brann have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats, which suggests they pick up wins on the road but also lose a good number of games there.

Taking every competition into account, the recent picture is sharper. Fredrikstad have picked up no wins in their last five, with 2 draws and 3 defeats. Brann have won 3 of their last five, failed to draw any, and lost 2. Those results come from different competitions than the league table, yet they tell the same story, and it is one we would not dismiss.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Fredrikstad

31 OctLFredrikstad 0–3 Rosenborg
25 OctLMolde 5–1 Fredrikstad
17 OctLViking 3–2 Fredrikstad
11 OctDFredrikstad 1–1 Tromsø
20 SeptDVålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad

Brann

5 NovDSt. Truiden 1–1 Brann
1 NovWBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctLLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctWKauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann
18 OctLVålerenga 3–1 Brann

Home and away

Fredrikstad at home12 matches: 5W 3D 4L, goals 14–15
Brann away12 matches: 3W 2D 7L, goals 22–22

Where do the goals come from for these two?

Brann are the side that finds the net. They average 1.8 goals a match in this competition, compared with Fredrikstad's 1.2, and their 45 goals are the reason they sit above their opponents. Fredrikstad have shipped 44 in the same competition, and across their most recent five games in every tournament they have scored 5 and let in 13. Brann's most recent five show 12 scored and 10 conceded, and that run featured a 4-1 win away at Kauno Žalgiris and a 3-2 home win over Molde.

The goal data is more telling when you look at how often each side scores than at the raw totals. Fredrikstad have netted in four of their last five outings, going blank just once. Brann have found the back of the net in each of their last five. With both sides converting so consistently, that trend is the basis for our second tip.

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Fredrikstad36%
Draw25%
Brann39%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

What do the last eight meetings tell us?

Past results heavily favour one side. Across the previous eight clashes, Brann claimed six victories and Fredrikstad two, and there were no draws. Brann found the net 20 times in that stretch, while Fredrikstad managed only 7. Their latest encounter came on 2 May this year, a 3-1 win for Brann over Fredrikstad, and the one before was a 1-0 Brann victory in September of last year.

Fredrikstad have certainly had their moments, and it's fair to acknowledge it. They claimed a 3-0 win at home back in March of last year, and they also beat Brann 2-0 away in April 2024. Those outcomes prove the rivalry has never been entirely one-sided, yet they stand out as exceptions within an otherwise clear pattern.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: last matches of both teams

Fredrikstad

L 31/10/26 · Fredrikstad 0–3 Rosenborg
L 25/10/26 · Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad
L 17/10/26 · Viking 3–2 Fredrikstad
D 11/10/26 · Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromsø
D 20/9/26 · Vålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad

Brann

D 5/11/26 · St. Truiden 1–1 Brann
W 1/11/26 · Brann 3–2 Molde
L 25/10/26 · Lillestrøm 3–2 Brann
W 22/10/26 · Kauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann
L 18/10/26 · Vålerenga 3–1 Brann

Head to head

All matches
2Fredrikstad
0Draws
6Brann
2/5/26 · Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad
28/9/25 · Brann 1–0 Fredrikstad
29/3/25 · Fredrikstad 3–0 Brann
18/8/24 · Fredrikstad 0–4 Brann
7/4/24 · Brann 0–2 Fredrikstad
22/10/22 · Fredrikstad 1–3 Brann

Any absences that change the picture?

Neither club has any absentees on the injury or suspension list. That puts the weight on recent form, league position and head-to-head results, and here those are enough to carry the pick. Nothing outside the numbers gives us grounds to change our read, so the call stands on the published figures.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: injuries and missing players

Fredrikstad

  • No reported absences

Brann

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Team comparison

FredrikstadBrann
25%Form75%
38%Attack62%
46%Defence54%
40%Head to head60%
43%Goals57%
39.0%Overall61.0%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

FredrikstadLLLDD
BrannWLLLW

Our Fredrikstad vs Brann betting tip: Brann +0

Our top pick is Brann +0 (Asian handicap) at 1.84 odds, where the market puts their best-case chance at 53%. Our case rests on a few points that all point the same way: Brann have taken three wins from their last five, whereas Fredrikstad have yet to win in that span. Brann also sit higher in the table, 32 points to 29. Head to head, Brann have come out on top in six of the last eight meetings, with Fredrikstad taking two.

Settlement works like this. Any Brann victory takes the bet, so both 1-2 and 0-1 pay out. Scorelines such as 2-1 or 1-0 lose. If the match ends level, as in 1-1 or 2-2, the stake comes back. Fredrikstad +0 is not a bet we would consider, and neither is any Fredrikstad win given their current form, regardless of how strong their home record appears.

Our second tip: Both teams to score

Our second selection is both teams to score at odds of 1.45, a price the bookmakers put at 65%. Fredrikstad's goal-scoring record and Brann's run of scoring in each of their last five matches both back it up. Neither side has failed to find the net often enough to sink this bet.

This bet cashes on 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and fails on 0-1 and 1-0. It works well alongside the primary selection, since a 1-2 Brann victory with Fredrikstad scoring as well returns on both.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Both teams to score: yes64.7% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.45
Likely
Draw or Brann (X2)64.0% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.64
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.38
Outsider
Brann to win38.6% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.51
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.55
Outsider
Fredrikstad to win36.0% · fair odds 2.78 · best 2.65
Outsider
Both teams to score: no35.3% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.70
Outsider
Draw25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.4%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.6%
1 : 28.5%
2 : 18.2%
0 : 16.9%
1 : 06.6%
2 : 26.6%

Which other bets are worth a look?

If you want to play around the main idea, we would look at these, all at their quoted odds:

  • Draw or Brann (X2) at 1.50, a 65% chance, which covers the draw as well as a Brann win.
  • Brann +0.5 (Asian handicap) at 1.50, a 64% chance, which pays out as long as Brann do not lose by a margin of one goal or more.
  • Brann +1 (Asian handicap) at 1.23, a 78% chance, which pays out as long as Brann do not lose by two or more goals, and gives the stake back if they fall short by a single goal.
  • Over 2.5 goals at 1.53, a 62% chance, which matches the scoring form of both teams and works nicely alongside our second selection.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.653.852.51
Market average2.593.672.41
Lowest odds2.443.312.28
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1481.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.531.5161.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4538.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.382.2841.3%
BTTS – yes1.451.4364.7%
BTTS – no2.702.6335.3%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.

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Where we come down

Brann look like the side to back here, and our selection is Brann +0 at 1.84. Fredrikstad's home results are solid enough, yet their recent form and the head-to-head history both lean away from them. For a goals angle, we would add Both teams to score at 1.45.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Brann +0 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Both teams to score (1.45).

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Our estimate gives Fredrikstad a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brann 39%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 18:15, venue Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Referee: Jorgen Haugen.

Who will be missing?

Fredrikstad: no absences. Brann: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.45).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.5%) and 2–1 (8.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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