Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm), Lillestrøm take on Brann, with Mohammad Usman Aslam in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lillestrøm lie 5th, having collected 42 points after 25 matches (13W 3D 9L); Brann lie 7th, having collected 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lillestrøm average 1.4 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.6 against for Brann.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 11W 3D 9L, goals 32–31; Brann: 9W 2D 12L, goals 40–37.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Lillestrøm have taken 4 wins to Brann's 9 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–28.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.88), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 68%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Lillestrøm 4 wins, 4 draws, Brann 9 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lillestrøm 32–31, Brann 40–37.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, top price 2.05). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann will be without: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.35 | 3.96 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.88 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 5th (42 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 11W 3D 9L (32:31), Brann 9W 2D 12L (40:37).
- H2H: 17 matches: Lillestrøm 4W 4D 9L, goals 17–28.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lillestrøm vs Brann: injuries and missing players
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebarainjury · will miss the match
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
Brann
- N. Boakyeknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Kjartanssonknee injury · will miss the match
- U. Mathisenfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Opsahlfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Sorensenabsence · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Brann: last matches of both teams
Lillestrøm
Brann
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LillestrømWWWDLBrannWLLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lillestrøm vs Brann?
Under 3.5 goals (1.88); Lillestrøm or draw (1X) (1.47).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
Our estimate gives Lillestrøm a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brann 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 16:00, venue Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.42) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.4%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.