Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa vs Juventus, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), with Daniele Doveri officiating. The odds point to Juventus (53%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Juventus win. Loses: a draw, Juventus lose.
Genoa vs Juventus: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Genoa lie 11th, having collected 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L); Juventus lie 7th, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Genoa average 0.8 goals for and 1.6 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.0 against for Juventus.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–13; Juventus: 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–8.
- Head to head. In 33 previous meetings, Genoa have taken 5 wins to Juventus's 22 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 26–56.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (16.1%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 42%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 39%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 33; Genoa 5 wins, 6 draws, Juventus 22 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Genoa 6–13, Juventus 11–8.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.
- Unavailable: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus will be without: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Genoa vs Juventus: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.25 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 5.11 | 3.39 | 1.83 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 65.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.44 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.57 | 60.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.75 | 4.63 | 20.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 3.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Genoa 0–1 Juventus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 2W 1D 5L (6:13), Juventus 4W 2D 2L (11:8).
- H2H: 33 matches: Genoa 5W 6D 22L, goals 26–56.
- Absences: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Genoa vs Juventus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Genoa vs Juventus: injuries and missing players
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Ehizibuemuscle injury · doubtful
- D. Sowthigh injury · doubtful
- S. Wiafemuscle injury · doubtful
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs Juventus: last matches of both teams
Genoa
Juventus
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWJuventusWLWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Genoa vs Juventus?
Juventus -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 1.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
Our estimate gives Genoa a 19% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Juventus 53%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Daniele Doveri.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.49) and under 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 42% (odds 2.20).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (16.1%), then 1–1 (12.0%) and 0–2 (11.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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