Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Granada CF welcome Valladolid on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada), and the referee is M. H. De Aza. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Granada CF win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Granada CF lose.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Granada CF lie 4th, having collected 23 points after 12 matches (7W 2D 3L); Valladolid lie 13th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. In 14 previous meetings, Granada CF have taken 7 wins to Valladolid's 5 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–17.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 14; Granada CF 7 wins, 2 draws, Valladolid 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
- Unavailable: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 53%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Granada CF: no absences. Valladolid will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.26 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.23 | 3.39 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.01 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.85 | 3.52 | 26.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Granada CF 1–1 Valladolid, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Granada CF 4th (23 points), Valladolid 13th (15 points).
- H2H: 14 matches: Granada CF 7W 2D 5L, goals 22–17.
- Absences: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Granada CF vs Valladolid: injuries and missing players
Granada CF
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Granada CF
Home and away
Granada CF vs Valladolid: last matches of both teams
Granada CF
Valladolid
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Granada CF -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Under 2.5 goals (1.86).
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Our estimate gives Granada CF a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Valladolid 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:30, venue Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada. Referee: M. H. De Aza.
Who will be missing?
Granada CF: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.13) and under 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.6%), then 1–0 (11.5%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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