Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp), Guingamp take on Saint-Étienne, with Benoit Millot in charge. We make Saint-Étienne (51%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Saint-Étienne win. Loses: a draw, Saint-Étienne lose.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Guingamp lie 11th, having collected 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L); Saint-Étienne lie 1st, having collected 25 points (8W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Guingamp average 1.3 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 2.3 for and 0.8 against for Saint-Étienne.
- Form in the competition. Guingamp: 3W 2D 5L, goals 13–15; Saint-Étienne: 8W 1D 1L, goals 23–8.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Guingamp have taken 6 wins to Saint-Étienne's 11 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–28.
What to expect
In our view Saint-Étienne hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Guingamp 6 wins, 2 draws, Saint-Étienne 11 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Guingamp 13–15, Saint-Étienne 23–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Guingamp: no absences. Saint-Étienne will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.41 | 3.79 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.04 | 3.57 | 1.81 |
| Lowest odds | 3.26 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.99 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.90 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.06 | 44.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 17:08. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Guingamp 1–1 Saint-Étienne, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Guingamp 11th (14 points), Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Guingamp 3W 2D 5L (13:15), Saint-Étienne 8W 1D 1L (23:8).
- H2H: 19 matches: Guingamp 6W 2D 11L, goals 22–28.
- Absences: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: injuries and missing players
Guingamp
- No reported absences
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Guingamp
Home and away
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: last matches of both teams
Guingamp
Saint-Étienne
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GuingampLWWLLSaint-ÉtienneLWWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Saint-Étienne -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Our estimate gives Guingamp a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Saint-Étienne 51%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp. Referee: Benoit Millot.
Who will be missing?
Guingamp: no absences. Saint-Étienne: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.82) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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