Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne welcome Nantes on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne), and the referee is Gaël Angoula, France. Saint-Étienne (55%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Saint-Étienne win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Saint-Étienne win by 1. Loses: a draw, Saint-Étienne lose.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Saint-Étienne lie 1st, having collected 25 points after 11 matches (8W 1D 2L); Nantes lie 16th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Head to head. In 21 previous meetings, Saint-Étienne have taken 8 wins to Nantes's 3 wins, plus 10 draws; the goal tally stands at 29–18.
What to expect
In our view Saint-Étienne hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 21; Saint-Étienne 8 wins, 10 draws, Nantes 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Saint-Étienne: no absences. Nantes will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.96 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.81 | 4.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 32.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Saint-Étienne 1–1 Nantes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points), Nantes 16th (9 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Saint-Étienne 8W 10D 3L, goals 29–18.
- Absences: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: injuries and missing players
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Nantes
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Saint-Étienne
Home and away
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: last matches of both teams
Saint-Étienne
Nantes
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
Saint-Étienne -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
Our estimate gives Saint-Étienne a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nantes 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne. Referee: Gaël Angoula, France.
Who will be missing?
Saint-Étienne: no absences. Nantes: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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