Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand), Kristiansund BK take on Aalesund, with Mischa Kellerhals, Norway in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Kristiansund BK win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Kristiansund BK lose.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Kristiansund BK lie 15th, having collected 23 points after 25 matches (6W 5D 14L); Aalesund lie 14th, having collected 24 points (5W 9D 11L).
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Kristiansund BK have taken 5 wins to Aalesund's 6 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–23.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Kristiansund BK 5 wins, 4 draws, Aalesund 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Kristiansund BK 0, Aalesund 0.
Alternative tip: Kristiansund BK or draw (1X)
Another angle: Kristiansund BK or draw (1X) (probability 64%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Kristiansund BK: no absences. Aalesund will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.53 | 3.86 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.69 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.56 | 36.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:15. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Kristiansund BK 1–1 Aalesund, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points), Aalesund 14th (24 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Kristiansund BK 5W 4D 6L, goals 23–23.
- Absences: Kristiansund BK 0, Aalesund 0.
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: injuries and missing players
Kristiansund BK
- No reported absences
Aalesund
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Kristiansund BK
Home and away
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: last matches of both teams
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
Kristiansund BK +0 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
Our estimate gives Kristiansund BK a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aalesund 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand. Referee: Mischa Kellerhals, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Kristiansund BK: no absences. Aalesund: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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