Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 17:00 at Color Line Stadion (Ålesund), Aalesund take on Sandefjord, with Tore Hansen in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Aalesund lie 14th, having collected 24 points after 25 matches (5W 9D 11L); Sandefjord lie 12th, having collected 27 points (7W 6D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Aalesund average 1.7 goals for and 2.2 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.3 against for Sandefjord.
- Form in the competition. Aalesund: 5W 9D 10L, goals 40–53; Sandefjord: 6W 6D 12L, goals 22–31.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Aalesund have taken 3 wins to Sandefjord's 8 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–22.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 68%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Aalesund 3 wins, 2 draws, Sandefjord 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Aalesund 40–53, Sandefjord 22–31.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Aalesund 7, Sandefjord 8.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 46%, top price 2.06). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Aalesund: I. Djantou, O. Gudmundsson, H. Hammer, S. Haram, M. Kristensen, M. Reed, J. Seehusen. Sandefjord will be without: B. Berntsen, D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, F. Apetorgbor, X. Lambrix, M. Sauer. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.25 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.79 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.94 | 3.31 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.78 | 33.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.02 | 46.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.36 | 67.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.87 | 32.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 16:06. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Aalesund 1–1 Sandefjord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aalesund 14th (24 points), Sandefjord 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Aalesund 5W 9D 10L (40:53), Sandefjord 6W 6D 12L (22:31).
- H2H: 13 matches: Aalesund 3W 2D 8L, goals 13–22.
- Absences: Aalesund 7, Sandefjord 8.
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: injuries and missing players
Aalesund
- I. Djantounot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Gudmundssonred card · will miss the match
- H. Hammerinjury · will miss the match
- S. Haramabsence · will miss the match
- M. Kristenseninjury · doubtful
- M. Reedinjury · doubtful
- J. Seehuseninjury · doubtful
Sandefjord
- B. Berntsenabsence · will miss the match
- D. Koswalknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Loftesnes-Bjunethigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Melchiorknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mollerankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Apetorgborinjury · doubtful
- X. Lambrixknee injury · doubtful
- M. Sauerinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Aalesund
Home and away
Aalesund vs Sandefjord: last matches of both teams
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AalesundLLWLWSandefjordWLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Draw or Sandefjord (X2) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
Our estimate gives Aalesund a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sandefjord 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Color Line Stadion, Ålesund. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Who will be missing?
Aalesund: I. Djantou, O. Gudmundsson, H. Hammer, S. Haram, M. Kristensen, M. Reed, J. Seehusen. Sandefjord: B. Berntsen, D. Koswal, F. Loftesnes-Bjune, M. Melchior, N. Moller, F. Apetorgbor, X. Lambrix, M. Sauer. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.89).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.6%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–2 (7.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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