Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Havre welcome Paris Saint Germain on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stade Océane (Le Havre), and the referee is François Letexier. Paris Saint Germain (73%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Le Havre lie 18th, having collected 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L); Paris Saint Germain lie 1st, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Le Havre average 1.0 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.1 against for Paris Saint Germain.
- Form in the competition. Le Havre: 0W 2D 6L, goals 8–15; Paris Saint Germain: 5W 2D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Le Havre have taken 0 wins to Paris Saint Germain's 8 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 6–31.
What to expect
In our view Paris Saint Germain hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 67% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Le Havre 0 wins, 1 draw, Paris Saint Germain 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Le Havre 8–15, Paris Saint Germain 16–9.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 56%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain will be without: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 10.15 | 6.65 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 8.62 | 5.88 | 1.31 |
| Lowest odds | 7.43 | 5.42 | 1.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.04 | 46.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Havre 0W 2D 6L (8:15), Paris Saint Germain 5W 2D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Le Havre 0W 1D 8L, goals 6–31.
- Absences: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: injuries and missing players
Le Havre
- E. Jelertthigh injury · will miss the match
- F. MambimbiAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- T. Pembelemuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Toureknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Zagadouknee injury · will miss the match
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembelethigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Kvaratskheliaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Longoniinjury · will miss the match
- Marquinhosthigh injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: last matches of both teams
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Le HavreLLLLLParis Saint GermainWWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Le Havre +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our estimate gives Le Havre a 11% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paris Saint Germain 73%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: François Letexier.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.45) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (10.3%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–3 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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