Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon (Ligue 1, 8 November 2026, 16:15): Stade Brestois 29 +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.82. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.38. The bookmakers' odds give Stade Brestois 29 34%, the draw 27% and Lyon 38%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Stade Brestois 29 win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Stade Brestois 29 lose.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon preview and prediction
We like Stade Brestois 29 +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.90, which the bookmakers rate at a 52% chance. The stake is split: half goes on Stade Brestois 29 +0 and half on Stade Brestois 29 +0.5. At +0 a home win wins, a draw returns the stake and a defeat loses it. At +0.5 the bet wins unless Stade Brestois 29 lose by one goal or more. Our second tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.46 (66%). The match is at the Stade Francis-Le-Blé in Brest on 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:15.
The key facts
- Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Lyon, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stade Brestois 29 11th (12 points), Lyon 3rd (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 3W 3D 3L (16:12), Lyon 5W 2D 2L (15:7).
- H2H: 20 matches: Stade Brestois 29 3W 9D 8L, goals 24–31.
- Absences: Stade Brestois 29 0, Lyon 0.
Brest at home against a side in better form
Stade Brestois 29 sit 10th in Ligue 1 on 12 points from nine matches, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Lyon are third on 17 points, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and they have conceded only 7 goals in the same table. Those are the figures of this competition only, so they say nothing about the cup or Europe.
The home record is where Brest should be dangerous, but it is not yet convincing. Stade Brestois 29 have won 1 and drawn 1 of their 4 home league games, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Lyon's away record is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Looking at all competitions, Brest's last five read two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. Lyon's last five read three wins, no draws and two defeats, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Lyon have been the more consistent side in those results, and the market has noticed it: the bookmakers give them 41% to win, against 32% for Brest.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.92 | 3.68 | 2.57 |
| Market average | 2.77 | 3.44 | 2.46 |
| Lowest odds | 2.63 | 3.08 | 2.34 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.89 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.94 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.09 | 30.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Stade Brestois 29
Home and away
Goals at both ends in recent weeks
Both teams have been scoring. In Brest's last five matches both sides scored in four of them, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in three. Lyon's last five show both teams scoring in two matches and more than 2.5 goals in three, and Lyon kept a clean sheet only once in that run. Brest kept a clean sheet only once in theirs.
That is why the open-goal picture does not fit the match as neatly as the form lines suggest. The market expects about three goals in total, with Brest scoring about one and Lyon about two. We do not read that as a free-scoring game. We read it as one where Lyon are likely to do the scoring and Brest will need a good enough result to keep the margin small.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: last matches of both teams
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Meetings that rarely produced a clear winner
The head-to-head record over the last 20 meetings is Stade Brestois 29 3 wins, 9 draws and Lyon 8 wins, with 24 goals scored by Brest and 31 by Lyon. Draws are the common result here, and that is the strongest argument for the handicap rather than a straight win.
The recent results point the same way. Lyon won 2-1 at home in January 2026, and Brest won 2-1 at home in January 2025. The 0-0 draw of November 2025 was also played in Brest's favour in terms of the handicap. The most recent meeting listed, in January 2026, went to Lyon, so Brest have some ground to make up in their own minds, but the close results are what we are betting on.
Head to head
All matchesStade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: injuries and missing players
Stade Brestois 29
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
No absences, and what the bookmakers expect
No absences have been reported for either side, so the line-ups should be close to full strength. Nothing in the squads changes the picture.
The market margin on the match result is 6.4%. Brest's draw is priced at 26% with best odds of 3.80, which means the bookmakers expect a draw to be a real possibility. For the Asian handicap, Stade Brestois 29 +0.25 is priced at 52% with best odds of 1.90, which is the figure we have used for our main tip. These are the bookmakers' expectations, not a record of how often these results happened.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Stade Brestois 29WLDWLLyonWLWLWOur second tip: Under 3.5 goals
The Under 3.5 goals tip is at odds 1.46 with a 66% chance. We like it because most of the likeliest scores fit under 3.5. Those include 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 and 0-2, all of which win for this tip. The bookmakers expect over 3.5 goals only 34% of the time.
Among the other bets, we like Stade Brestois 29 +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.22, a 78% chance. At +1.5 the bet wins unless Brest lose by two goals or more, so it covers the defeats we fear most without needing Brest to win. It is consistent with our main tip, which is why it appeals to us. We also like Both teams to score at odds 1.62 (59%). Both sides have been finding the net recently, and it fits a match where Lyon are likely to score twice and Brest will not be shut out.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
Stade Brestois 29 +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 3.5 goals (1.38).
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
Our estimate gives Stade Brestois 29 a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lyon 38%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 16:15, venue Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Who will be missing?
Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.94) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.2%), then 0–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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