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La Liga · Matchweek 6 · 21 October 2026 · 19:00

Levante vs Athletic Club: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 October 2026, La Liga

LLWDD
3–1
1Levante3.74
XDraw3.44
2Athletic Club2.25

Top price available · Updated 21/10/26, 16:55

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Levante welcome Athletic Club on 21 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia), and the referee is Alejandro Quintero González, Spain. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Levante vs Athletic Club: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.87
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result (even match)
Draw or Athletic Club (X2)
1.33
Chance 73% · confidence high
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Levante vs Athletic Club: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Levante lie 18th, having collected 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L); Athletic Club lie 7th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In 27 previous meetings, Levante have taken 6 wins to Athletic Club's 17 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 34–48.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 27; Levante 6 wins, 4 draws, Athletic Club 17 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
  4. Unavailable: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Levante: no absences. Athletic Club will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Levante vs Athletic Club: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.743.442.25
Market average3.553.242.17
Lowest odds3.383.102.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.401.3470.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.202.0945.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.871.7654.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.803.5526.4%
BTTS – yes1.851.8051.8%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.2%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 16:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Levante 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
  • H2H: 27 matches: Levante 6W 4D 17L, goals 34–48.
  • Absences: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.

Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?

Levante27%
Draw29%
Athletic Club44%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Levante vs Athletic Club: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals73.6% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Draw or Athletic Club (X2)73.2% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.2% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams to score: yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams to score: no48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.20
Outsider
Athletic Club to win43.9% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.25
Outsider
Draw29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.44
Outsider
Levante to win26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.74
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.4% · fair odds 3.79 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.79 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.3%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.87 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.7%

Correct score tips

1 : 112.7%
0 : 112.1%
1 : 09.1%
1 : 28.9%
0 : 08.6%
0 : 28.5%

Levante vs Athletic Club: injuries and missing players

Levante

  • No reported absences

Athletic Club

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla125-3-417:1918
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Alavés123-4-515:1713
10Villarreal113-3-515:1512
11Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Levante

31 OctLLevante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
25 OctLReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
21 OctWLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
16 OctDDeportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla

Athletic Club

1 NovWAthletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
25 OctWAthletic Club 4–0 Getafe
21 OctLLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
17 OctDValencia 0–0 Athletic Club
19 SeptDAthletic Club 0–0 Alavés

Home and away

Levante at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 13–12
Athletic Club away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–5

Levante vs Athletic Club: last matches of both teams

Levante

L 31/10/26 · Levante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
L 25/10/26 · Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
D 16/10/26 · Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
D 12/10/26 · Levante 3–3 Sevilla

Athletic Club

W 1/11/26 · Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
W 25/10/26 · Athletic Club 4–0 Getafe
D 17/10/26 · Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club
D 19/9/26 · Athletic Club 0–0 Alavés

Head to head

All matches
6Levante
4Draws
17Athletic Club
21/10/26 · Levante 3–1 Athletic Club
8/2/26 · Athletic Club 4–2 Levante
29/11/25 · Levante 0–2 Athletic Club
7/3/22 · Athletic Club 3–1 Levante
19/11/21 · Levante 0–0 Athletic Club
4/3/21 · Levante 1–2 Athletic Club

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Levante vs Athletic Club?

Under 2.5 goals (1.87); Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (1.33).

Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?

Our estimate gives Levante a 27% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Athletic Club 44%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Alejandro Quintero González, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Levante: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.20) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.87).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.85).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (9.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Málaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 NovElche vs Real Betis 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.