Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Getafe, 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at San Mamés Stadium (Bilbao), with Francisco José Hernández Maeso officiating. The odds point to Athletic Club (61%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Getafe win, a draw, Getafe lose by 1. Loses: Getafe lose by 2 or more.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Athletic Club lie 7th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); Getafe lie 13th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Athletic Club average 1.0 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 0.6 for and 1.2 against for Getafe.
- Form in the competition. Athletic Club: 2W 3D 3L, goals 8–9; Getafe: 2W 3D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Head to head. In 31 previous meetings, Athletic Club have taken 11 wins to Getafe's 6 wins, plus 14 draws; the goal tally stands at 42–25.
What to expect
In our view Athletic Club hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (14.7%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.73), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 44%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 31; Athletic Club 11 wins, 14 draws, Getafe 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Athletic Club 8–9, Getafe 5–11.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.76). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Getafe will be without: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.65 | 4.21 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 3.98 | 6.26 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.81 | 24.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 2.13 | 43.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.65 | 56.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Athletic Club 1–0 Getafe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Athletic Club 7th (15 points), Getafe 13th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Athletic Club 2W 3D 3L (8:9), Getafe 2W 3D 4L (5:11).
- H2H: 31 matches: Athletic Club 11W 14D 6L, goals 42–25.
- Absences: Athletic Club 4, Getafe 5.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Athletic Club vs Getafe: injuries and missing players
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluzknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Guruzetaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Laportered card · will miss the match
- O. Sancetmuscle injury · will miss the match
Getafe
- Djenered card · will miss the match
- Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Mangalamuscle injury · will miss the match
- Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Athletic Club
Home and away
Athletic Club vs Getafe: last matches of both teams
Athletic Club
Getafe
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Athletic ClubWWLDDGetafeWLDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Getafe +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.54); Both teams to score: no (1.73).
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Our estimate gives Athletic Club a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Getafe 15%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 13:00, venue San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. Referee: Francisco José Hernández Maeso.
Who will be missing?
Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte, O. Sancet. Getafe: Djene, Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.23) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 44% (odds 2.25).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (14.7%), then 2–0 (12.5%) and 1–1 (11.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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