Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de Mestalla (Valdivia), Valencia take on Athletic Club, with Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Athletic Club win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Athletic Club lose.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Valencia lie 19th, having collected 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L); Athletic Club lie 7th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Valencia: no absences. Athletic Club will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.34 | 3.43 | 2.36 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.31 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.09 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 18:13. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Valencia 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Valencia 19th (9 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
- Absences: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Valencia vs Athletic Club: injuries and missing players
Valencia
- No reported absences
Athletic Club
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valencia
Home and away
Valencia vs Athletic Club: last matches of both teams
Valencia
Athletic Club
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.52); Under 2.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Our estimate gives Valencia a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Athletic Club 41%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia. Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Valencia: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.8%), then 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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