Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lille vs Galatasaray, 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), with Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Galatasaray win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Galatasaray lose.
Lille vs Galatasaray: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lille lie 35th, having collected 1 point after 4 matches (0W 1D 3L); Galatasaray lie 18th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have taken 0 wins to Galatasaray's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–4.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Galatasaray, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Lille 0 wins, 0 draws, Galatasaray 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 6.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lille: no absences. Galatasaray will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lille vs Galatasaray: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.59 | 3.60 | 2.99 |
| Market average | 2.49 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.19 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.65 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.38 | 39.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 16:39. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Galatasaray, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 35th (1 point), Galatasaray 18th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lille 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
- Absences: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lille vs Galatasaray: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lille vs Galatasaray: injuries and missing players
Lille
- No reported absences
Galatasaray
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lille
Home and away
Lille vs Galatasaray: last matches of both teams
Lille
Galatasaray
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lille vs Galatasaray?
Galatasaray +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our estimate gives Lille a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Galatasaray 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Galatasaray: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.75) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.6%), then 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.