Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Lorient vs Rennes (Ligue 1, 22 November 2026, 16:15): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81. Second tip: Draw or Rennes (X2) at odds of 1.43. The bookmakers' odds give Lorient 32%, the draw 26% and Rennes 42%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Lorient vs Rennes: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lorient lie 12th, having collected 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L); Rennes lie 5th, having collected 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Lorient 0, Rennes 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lorient: no absences. Rennes will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lorient vs Rennes: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.08 | 3.78 | 2.34 |
| Market average | 2.99 | 3.61 | 2.29 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.12 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.79 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 12th (12 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Lorient 0, Rennes 0.
Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lorient vs Rennes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Lorient vs Rennes: injuries and missing players
Lorient
- No reported absences
Rennes
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
Home and away
Lorient vs Rennes: last matches of both teams
Lorient
Rennes
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lorient vs Rennes?
Over 2.5 goals (1.81); Draw or Rennes (X2) (1.43).
Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?
Our estimate gives Lorient a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rennes 42%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:15, venue Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: no absences. Rennes: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.81) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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