Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rennes vs Strasbourg, 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Roazhon Park (Rennes), with Ruddy Buquet officiating. The odds point to Rennes (54%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rennes lie 5th, having collected 16 points after 9 matches (5W 1D 3L); Strasbourg lie 13th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Rennes average 2.1 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 1.7 for and 2.1 against for Strasbourg.
- Form in the competition. Rennes: 4W 1D 2L, goals 15–14; Strasbourg: 2W 1D 4L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, Rennes have taken 11 wins to Strasbourg's 5 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 31–18.
What to expect
In our view Rennes hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.46), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 18; Rennes 11 wins, 2 draws, Strasbourg 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Rennes 15–14, Strasbourg 12–15.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rennes: E. Lepaul. Strasbourg will be without: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.83 | 4.50 | 4.22 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 4.25 | 4.02 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 1.43 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.77 | 34.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.10 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rennes 2–1 Strasbourg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rennes 5th (16 points), Strasbourg 13th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rennes 4W 1D 2L (15:14), Strasbourg 2W 1D 4L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Rennes 11W 2D 5L, goals 31–18.
- Absences: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rennes vs Strasbourg: injuries and missing players
Rennes
- E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
Strasbourg
- F. Baldeabsence · will miss the match
- I. Doukourenot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Nanasiinjury · will miss the match
- J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rennes
Home and away
Rennes vs Strasbourg: last matches of both teams
Rennes
Strasbourg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RennesLWLWLStrasbourgLWLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Rennes to win (1.83).
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Our estimate gives Rennes a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Strasbourg 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 16:15, venue Roazhon Park, Rennes. Referee: Ruddy Buquet.
Who will be missing?
Rennes: E. Lepaul. Strasbourg: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.46) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.5%), then 1–1 (9.2%) and 2–0 (7.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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