Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Modena welcome Mantova on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Alberto Braglia (Modena), and the referee is Francesco Fourneau. Modena (52%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Modena win. Loses: a draw, Modena lose.
Modena vs Mantova: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Modena lie 3rd, having collected 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L); Mantova lie 4th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Modena average 1.9 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.1 against for Mantova.
- Form in the competition. Modena: 6W 1D 2L, goals 17–9; Mantova: 5W 2D 2L, goals 14–10.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Modena have taken 4 wins to Mantova's 1 win, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 12–6.
What to expect
In our view Modena hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Modena 4 wins, 4 draws, Mantova 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Modena 17–9, Mantova 14–10.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Modena 0, Mantova 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Modena: no absences. Mantova will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Modena vs Mantova: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.84 | 3.80 | 4.71 |
| Market average | 1.79 | 3.60 | 4.18 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.32 | 3.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.19 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 07:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Modena 1–1 Mantova, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Modena 3rd (20 points), Mantova 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Modena 6W 1D 2L (17:9), Mantova 5W 2D 2L (14:10).
- H2H: 9 matches: Modena 4W 4D 1L, goals 12–6.
- Absences: Modena 0, Mantova 0.
Who will win Modena vs Mantova?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Modena vs Mantova: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Modena vs Mantova: injuries and missing players
Modena
- No reported absences
Mantova
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Modena
Home and away
Modena vs Mantova: last matches of both teams
Modena
Mantova
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ModenaDWWLWMantovaDLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Modena vs Mantova?
Modena -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Modena vs Mantova?
Our estimate gives Modena a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mantova 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Alberto Braglia, Modena. Referee: Francesco Fourneau.
Who will be missing?
Modena: no absences. Mantova: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.21).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.