Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Northampton welcome Tranmere on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), and the referee is A. Jackson. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Northampton vs Tranmere: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Northampton lie 21st, having collected 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L); Tranmere lie 11th, having collected 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.8%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Tranmere, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Northampton: no absences. Tranmere will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Northampton vs Tranmere: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.27 |
| Market average | 2.25 | 3.22 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.14 | 3.04 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 68.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.92 | 3.71 | 25.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.90 | 49.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Tranmere, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Northampton 21st (14 points), Tranmere 11th (19 points).
- Absences: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Northampton vs Tranmere: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Northampton vs Tranmere: injuries and missing players
Northampton
- No reported absences
Tranmere
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Northampton
Home and away
Northampton vs Tranmere: last matches of both teams
Northampton
Tranmere
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Northampton vs Tranmere?
Draw or Tranmere (X2) (1.65); Under 2.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our estimate gives Northampton a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tranmere 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: A. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Northampton: no absences. Tranmere: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.18) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.73).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.8%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.