Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield (League Two, 14 November 2026, 15:00): Bristol Rovers or draw (1X) at odds of 1.53. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.60. The bookmakers' odds give Bristol Rovers 36%, the draw 27% and Chesterfield 36%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield preview and prediction
Will Bristol Rovers manage to avoid losing at the Memorial Stadium against a Chesterfield team that has struggled away from home? That point shapes how we read this League Two fixture on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00. Our top pick is a Bristol Rovers win or draw (1X) at odds 1.53, with a probability of 64%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Chesterfield, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol Rovers 17th (16 points), Chesterfield 10th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Bristol Rovers 5W 1D 8L (17:23), Chesterfield 5W 4D 5L (24:21).
- H2H: 9 matches: Bristol Rovers 3W 1D 5L, goals 13–17.
- Absences: Bristol Rovers 0, Chesterfield 0.
Rovers hold up better at home than on the table
Bristol Rovers sit 17th in this competition with 16 points from 14 matches, having scored 17 and conceded 23. That is a poor return, and we would not pretend otherwise. Their home figures are a different picture: 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. That home record is the reason we are willing to back them here.
Their form on the road has been a real concern. Bristol Rovers have lost 4 of their last 5 across all competitions, and the one game that wasn't a defeat ended 0-0 at home against Swindon Town. Over that run they have found the net 3 times and let in 9, without a single win. We don't see them picking up points here. Our read is that they will be tough to beat on their own patch.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Chesterfield's away form is where the doubt lies
Chesterfield sit 10th with 19 points from 14 matches, built on 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats. Their 24 goals scored and 21 conceded look respectable, and at 1.7 goals per match they have the stronger attack of the pair. The worry is on the road. Away from home they have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
Their wider run tells the same story, even if it covers more games. In their last 5 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have collected just 1 win, alongside 2 draws and 2 defeats, and both losses came at Port Vale and Newport County. They have scored 9 and conceded 9 over that stretch, so goals are not the problem. Points on the road are, and that is where we expect them to struggle.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Bristol Rovers
Home and away
No earlier meeting and a clean team sheet
These two teams have no earlier meeting known, so no head-to-head trend can guide the pick. Neither side has any injury or suspension news to report. Recent results and playing at home are therefore the factors that matter, and both favour the home team staying in the bet.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Bristol RoversLDLLLChesterfieldLWDLDWhy 1X at 1.53 is our first choice
Bookmakers give Bristol Rovers a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chesterfield 36%, with the best price on either team at 2.55. Backing Rovers outright at home would mean putting faith in a team that has now gone five games without a victory. The 1X at 1.53 needs less from them: they only have to avoid defeat.
The bet wins on 1-1, 1-0, 2-1 and 0-0, and it loses on 0-1 and 1-2. In other words, only a Chesterfield win, or a Rovers defeat by two goals, sinks it. We think a 64% chance at 1.53 is a fair reading of a home side that has been much stronger at its own ground than away.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Both teams to score
Our second pick is both teams to score at odds 1.60, with a probability of 59%. Across every competition, Bristol Rovers have seen both sides find the net in 3 of their last 5 games, whereas Chesterfield have managed it in 4 of their last 5. Chesterfield kept their scoring streak alive in all but one of those five outings, so they are seldom held scoreless, and an expected total of about two goals suits a contest in which both teams are likely to hit the back of the net.
Of our two picks, this one carries less conviction. The market puts the chance at 59%, which is barely above a coin flip, and the wager only lands if both teams find the net. It pays on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, and falls short on 1-0, 0-1 and 0-0. At 1.60, we think it's worth taking, but only with a small stake.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: last matches of both teams
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
Head to head
All matchesThree other bets at these prices
- Bristol Rovers +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.38. The stake is split evenly: one portion backs Rovers +0.5, a bet that only loses if they are beaten by a margin of one goal or more. The remaining portion backs Rovers +1, which is lost only when they go down by two or more, while a one-goal defeat hands that portion back. It is a sensible companion to our main tip.
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.23. The bookmakers give it a 76% chance. We see it as a secondary selection rather than the main pick on the slip.
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44. The market's chance is 65%. It suits anyone who expects the sides to struggle to score freely, though we have no strong view of our own on it.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.52 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.08 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.63 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 16:27. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.9%.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: injuries and missing players
Bristol Rovers
- No reported absences
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Home form is the deciding factor on this card
Our preferred selection is the double chance 1X. Across every competition, Chesterfield have collected just one win from their last five outings, and they have not looked convincing on the road in this tournament either. Rovers' four home victories in this competition are the statistic to watch. The market prices the 1X at 64% and odds of 1.53, which looks like a reasonable price rather than a bargain.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Bristol Rovers or draw (1X) (1.53); Both teams to score (1.60).
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Our estimate gives Bristol Rovers a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chesterfield 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 14 November 2026 at 15:00, venue Memorial Stadium, Bristol.
Who will be missing?
Bristol Rovers: no absences. Chesterfield: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (8.5%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.