Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Orléans welcome Villefranche on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade de la Source (Orléans). Orléans (51%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Villefranche win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Villefranche lose by 1. Loses: Villefranche lose by 2 or more.
Orléans vs Villefranche: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Orléans lie 14th, having collected 11 points after 12 matches (2W 5D 5L); Villefranche lie 16th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Orléans average 0.9 goals for and 1.4 against, compared with 0.9 for and 2.3 against for Villefranche.
- Form in the competition. Orléans: 2W 3D 5L, goals 9–14; Villefranche: 2W 1D 7L, goals 9–23.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Orléans have taken 3 wins to Villefranche's 6 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–17.
What to expect
In our view Orléans hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.6%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.83), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Orléans 3 wins, 4 draws, Villefranche 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Orléans 9–14, Villefranche 9–23.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Orléans 0, Villefranche 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.88). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Orléans: no absences. Villefranche will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Orléans vs Villefranche: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.85 | 3.72 | 4.26 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.49 | 3.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.07 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.76 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 47.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 9.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Orléans 1–1 Villefranche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Orléans 14th (11 points), Villefranche 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Orléans 2W 3D 5L (9:14), Villefranche 2W 1D 7L (9:23).
- H2H: 13 matches: Orléans 3W 4D 6L, goals 11–17.
- Absences: Orléans 0, Villefranche 0.
Who will win Orléans vs Villefranche?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Orléans vs Villefranche: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Orléans vs Villefranche: injuries and missing players
Orléans
- No reported absences
Villefranche
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Orléans
Home and away
Orléans vs Villefranche: last matches of both teams
Orléans
Villefranche
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
OrléansDDLDDVillefrancheDWLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Orléans vs Villefranche?
Villefranche +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.83).
Who will win Orléans vs Villefranche?
Our estimate gives Orléans a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villefranche 23%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:45, venue Stade de la Source, Orléans.
Who will be missing?
Orléans: no absences. Villefranche: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.88) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.6%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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