Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Valenciennes vs Orléans, 5 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes). Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Valenciennes lie 15th, having collected 10 points after 12 matches (2W 4D 6L); Orléans lie 14th, having collected 11 points (2W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Valenciennes average 1.0 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.4 against for Orléans.
- Form in the competition. Valenciennes: 2W 3D 6L, goals 11–17; Orléans: 2W 4D 5L, goals 10–15.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Valenciennes have taken 7 wins to Orléans's 6 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–16.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.83), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Valenciennes 7 wins, 0 draws, Orléans 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Valenciennes 11–17, Orléans 10–15.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Valenciennes 0, Orléans 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Valenciennes: no absences. Orléans will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.27 | 3.37 | 3.26 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.02 | 2.92 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.29 | 71.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.30 | 28.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.72 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.97 | 46.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Valenciennes 1–1 Orléans, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Valenciennes 15th (10 points), Orléans 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Valenciennes 2W 3D 6L (11:17), Orléans 2W 4D 5L (10:15).
- H2H: 13 matches: Valenciennes 7W 0D 6L, goals 18–16.
- Absences: Valenciennes 0, Orléans 0.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Orléans?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Valenciennes vs Orléans: injuries and missing players
Valenciennes
- No reported absences
Orléans
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valenciennes
Home and away
Valenciennes vs Orléans: last matches of both teams
Valenciennes
Orléans
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ValenciennesDLDLWOrléansDDLDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Valenciennes vs Orléans?
Both teams to score (1.83); Valenciennes or draw (1X) (1.33).
Who will win Valenciennes vs Orléans?
Our estimate gives Valenciennes a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Orléans 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes.
Who will be missing?
Valenciennes: no absences. Orléans: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.01) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.6%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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