Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander, 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona), with Juan Martínez Munuera, Spain officiating. The odds point to Osasuna (48%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Osasuna win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Osasuna lose.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Osasuna lie 15th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Racing Santander lie 16th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
What to expect
In our view Osasuna hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Osasuna 0, Racing Santander 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Osasuna: no absences. Racing Santander will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.04 | 3.80 | 3.84 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.65 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 42.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.33 | 39.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 09:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Osasuna 1–1 Racing Santander, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Osasuna 15th (11 points), Racing Santander 16th (11 points).
- Absences: Osasuna 0, Racing Santander 0.
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: injuries and missing players
Osasuna
- No reported absences
Racing Santander
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Osasuna
Home and away
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: last matches of both teams
Osasuna
Racing Santander
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Osasuna -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Our estimate gives Osasuna a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Racing Santander 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 13:00, venue Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona. Referee: Juan Martínez Munuera, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Osasuna: no absences. Racing Santander: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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