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La Liga · Matchweek 10 · 24 October 2026 · 15:15

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: prediction, odds and betting tip – 24 October 2026, La Liga

1Racing Santander2.37
XDraw3.75
2Espanyol3.05

Top price available · Updated 24/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 24 October 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander), Racing Santander take on Espanyol, with Jesús Gil Manzano, Spain in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.70
Chance 58% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result (even match)
Racing Santander or draw (1X)
1.43
Chance 68% · confidence high
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Racing Santander vs Espanyol: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Racing Santander lie 16th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Espanyol lie 14th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Racing Santander average 1.4 goals for and 2.8 against, compared with 1.2 for and 1.3 against for Espanyol.
  3. Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 2W 2D 5L, goals 13–25; Espanyol: 2W 2D 5L, goals 11–12.
  4. Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Racing Santander have taken 3 wins to Espanyol's 3 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 7–8.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 7; Racing Santander 3 wins, 1 draw, Espanyol 3 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Racing Santander 13–25, Espanyol 11–12.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
  5. Unavailable: Racing Santander 1, Espanyol 2.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Racing Santander: S. Eriksson. Espanyol will be without: K. Garcia, Jofre. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.373.753.05
Market average2.303.632.98
Lowest odds2.253.402.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1979.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6458.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.402.2941.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5337.3%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.9%
BTTS – no2.502.4438.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Racing Santander 1–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Racing Santander 2W 2D 5L (13:25), Espanyol 2W 2D 5L (11:12).
  • H2H: 7 matches: Racing Santander 3W 1D 3L, goals 7–8.
  • Absences: Racing Santander 1, Espanyol 2.

Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?

Racing Santander42%
Draw26%
Espanyol32%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.2% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Racing Santander or draw (1X)67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.43
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.7% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams to score: yes61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.40
Outsider
Racing Santander to win41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.37
Outsider
Both teams to score: no38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.3% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.63
Outsider
Espanyol to win32.1% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.05
Outsider
Draw26.3% · fair odds 3.80 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.71 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.53 · Under 2.49
probability of over 61.6%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.2%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.0%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.0%
2 : 06.4%

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: injuries and missing players

Racing Santander

  • S. Erikssonshoulder injury · will miss the match

Espanyol

  • K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
  • Jofregroin injury · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla125-3-417:1918
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Alavés123-4-515:1713
10Villarreal113-3-515:1512
11Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Racing Santander

1 NovLRacing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
24 OctWRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
18 OctLOsasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
11 OctDRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia
19 SeptLCelta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Espanyol

30 OctWVillarreal 0–1 Espanyol
24 OctLRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
17 OctLEspanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
9 OctDMálaga 1–1 Espanyol
18 SeptLEspanyol 1–3 Elche

Home and away

Racing Santander at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 11–11
Espanyol away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 7–7

Racing Santander vs Espanyol: last matches of both teams

Racing Santander

L 1/11/26 · Racing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
L 18/10/26 · Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
D 11/10/26 · Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia
L 19/9/26 · Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Espanyol

W 30/10/26 · Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol
L 17/10/26 · Espanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
D 9/10/26 · Málaga 1–1 Espanyol
L 18/9/26 · Espanyol 1–3 Elche

Team comparison

Racing SantanderEspanyol
50%Form50%
55%Attack45%
29%Defence71%
40%Head to head60%
42%Goals58%
44.3%Overall55.7%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Racing SantanderLWLDL
EspanyolWLLDL

Head to head

All matches
3Racing Santander
1Draws
3Espanyol
24/10/26 · Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
10/2/24 · Racing Santander 2–0 Espanyol
19/8/23 · Espanyol 2–0 Racing Santander
19/3/12 · Espanyol 3–1 Racing Santander
22/10/11 · Racing Santander 0–1 Espanyol
3/4/11 · Espanyol 1–2 Racing Santander

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Racing Santander vs Espanyol?

Over 2.5 goals (1.70); Racing Santander or draw (1X) (1.43).

Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?

Our estimate gives Racing Santander a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Espanyol 32%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:15, venue El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: Jesús Gil Manzano, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Racing Santander: S. Eriksson. Espanyol: K. Garcia, Jofre. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.40).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Málaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 NovElche vs Real Betis 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.