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League One · Matchweek 9 · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Oxford United vs Stockport County: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, League One

1Oxford United3.50
XDraw3.94
2Stockport County2.03

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Oxford United welcome Stockport County on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Kassam Stadium (Oxford). Stockport County (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Oxford United vs Stockport County: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Oxford United win, a draw. Loses: Oxford United lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
Chance 63% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Stockport County (X2) at a probability of 72%, with odds of up to 1.35.
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Oxford United vs Stockport County: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Oxford United lie 3rd, having collected 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L); Stockport County lie 2nd, having collected 26 points (8W 2D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Oxford United average 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.0 against for Stockport County.
  3. Form in the competition. Oxford United: 5W 4D 1L, goals 18–10; Stockport County: 7W 2D 3L, goals 24–12.
  4. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have taken 1 win to Stockport County's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–0.

What to expect

In our view Stockport County hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Oxford United 1 win, 0 draws, Stockport County 0 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 1.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Oxford United 18–10, Stockport County 24–12.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
  5. Unavailable: Oxford United 0, Stockport County 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Oxford United: no absences. Stockport County will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Oxford United vs Stockport County: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.503.942.03
Market average3.353.691.99
Lowest odds2.973.261.95
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6058.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.332.2741.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.4937.3%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.6%
BTTS – no2.452.3639.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Oxford United 1–1 Stockport County, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Oxford United 3rd (26 points), Stockport County 2nd (26 points).
  • Form in the competition: Oxford United 5W 4D 1L (18:10), Stockport County 7W 2D 3L (24:12).
  • H2H: 1 match: Oxford United 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0.
  • Absences: Oxford United 0, Stockport County 0.

Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?

Oxford United28%
Draw25%
Stockport County47%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Oxford United vs Stockport County: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Stockport County (X2)72.1% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.7% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.52
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.6% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.63
Possible
Stockport County to win46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.03
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.4% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.33
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.3% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.63
Outsider
Oxford United to win27.9% · fair odds 3.59 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.94
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.85
probability of over 50.0%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.8%
1 : 29.4%
0 : 18.3%
0 : 27.3%
2 : 17.0%
1 : 06.2%

Oxford United vs Stockport County: injuries and missing players

Oxford United

  • No reported absences

Stockport County

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Huddersfield148-5-128:1229
2Stockport County148-2-426:1426
3Oxford United137-5-122:1126
4Luton147-3-427:2124
5Plymouth147-2-521:1923
6Reading146-4-425:1522
7Bradford136-4-310:822
8Cambridge United145-6-321:2121
9Sheffield Wednesday135-5-322:1420
10Leicester135-4-422:1919
11Mansfield Town135-4-420:1819
12Milton Keynes Dons134-6-322:2018
13Wycombe134-6-321:2318
14Leyton Orient135-2-619:1417
15Burton Albion144-5-518:2117
16Stevenage124-4-417:1316
17Notts County123-5-413:1414
18AFC Wimbledon133-4-69:2113
19Blackpool123-3-617:2112
20Doncaster133-3-714:2212
21Wigan143-2-911:2211
22Peterborough132-4-711:2310
23Barnsley122-3-712:229
24Bromley132-3-813:339

Recent matches

Oxford United

4 NovWOxford United 2–0 Reading
31 OctDBarnsley 1–1 Oxford United
27 OctWOxford United 1–0 Stockport County
24 OctDOxford United 0–0 Bradford
20 OctWOxford United 2–1 Wigan

Stockport County

31 OctWStockport County 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
27 OctLOxford United 1–0 Stockport County
24 OctDNotts County 1–1 Stockport County
20 OctWDoncaster 0–2 Stockport County
17 OctWStockport County 1–0 Bromley

Home and away

Oxford United at home7 matches: 4W 3D 0L, goals 11–4
Stockport County away7 matches: 3W 2D 2L, goals 10–5

Oxford United vs Stockport County: last matches of both teams

Oxford United

W 4/11/26 · Oxford United 2–0 Reading
D 31/10/26 · Barnsley 1–1 Oxford United
D 24/10/26 · Oxford United 0–0 Bradford
W 20/10/26 · Oxford United 2–1 Wigan

Stockport County

W 31/10/26 · Stockport County 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
D 24/10/26 · Notts County 1–1 Stockport County
W 20/10/26 · Doncaster 0–2 Stockport County
W 17/10/26 · Stockport County 1–0 Bromley

Team comparison

Oxford UnitedStockport County
41%Form59%
43%Attack57%
33%Defence67%
39.5%Overall60.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Oxford UnitedWDWDW
Stockport CountyWLDWW

Head to head

All matches
1Oxford United
0Draws
0Stockport County
27/10/26 · Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Oxford United vs Stockport County?

Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?

Our estimate gives Oxford United a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stockport County 47%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Kassam Stadium, Oxford.

Who will be missing?

Oxford United: no absences. Stockport County: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.33).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Leicester vs Bradford 14 NovWigan vs Barnsley 14 NovSheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth 14 NovAFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool 14 NovMilton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion 14 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.