Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Peterborough welcome Luton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at ABAX Stadium (Peterborough). Luton (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Peterborough win, a draw. Loses: Peterborough lose.
Peterborough vs Luton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Peterborough lie 22nd, having collected 10 points after 13 matches (2W 4D 7L); Luton lie 4th, having collected 24 points (7W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Peterborough average 0.9 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.7 against for Luton.
- Form in the competition. Peterborough: 2W 4D 6L, goals 11–21; Luton: 6W 2D 4L, goals 24–20.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Peterborough have taken 3 wins to Luton's 6 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–18.
What to expect
In our view Luton hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Peterborough 3 wins, 2 draws, Luton 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Peterborough 11–21, Luton 24–20.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
- Unavailable: Peterborough 0, Luton 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 56%, top price 1.70). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Peterborough: no absences. Luton will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Peterborough vs Luton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.49 | 4.06 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.30 | 3.83 | 1.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.87 | 3.36 | 1.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.49 | 1.45 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.58 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 09:44. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Peterborough 1–1 Luton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Peterborough 22nd (10 points), Luton 4th (24 points).
- Form in the competition: Peterborough 2W 4D 6L (11:21), Luton 6W 2D 4L (24:20).
- H2H: 11 matches: Peterborough 3W 2D 6L, goals 9–18.
- Absences: Peterborough 0, Luton 0.
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Peterborough vs Luton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Peterborough vs Luton: injuries and missing players
Peterborough
- No reported absences
Luton
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Peterborough
Home and away
Peterborough vs Luton: last matches of both teams
Peterborough
Luton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PeterboroughLDLDWLutonDWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Peterborough vs Luton?
Peterborough +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Peterborough vs Luton?
Our estimate gives Peterborough a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Luton 47%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue ABAX Stadium, Peterborough.
Who will be missing?
Peterborough: no absences. Luton: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.49) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.70).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.0%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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