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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

WLLL
1–2
1Plzeň1.78
XDraw4.00
2Levski Sofia4.90

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner), Plzeň take on Levski Sofia, with Alejandro Hernández in charge. We make Plzeň (55%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Chance 53% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Plzeň to win
1.78
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Combo
Plzeň with over 2.5 goals
2.94
34% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Plzeň or draw (1X) at a probability of 80%, with odds of up to 1.21.
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Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Plzeň lie 30th, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Levski Sofia lie 10th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Plzeň have taken 0 wins to Levski Sofia's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–2.

What to expect

In our view Plzeň hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Levski Sofia, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Plzeň 0 wins, 0 draws, Levski Sofia 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
  4. Unavailable: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Plzeň: no absences. Levski Sofia will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.784.004.90
Market average1.733.864.68
Lowest odds1.703.634.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2476.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8052.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.102.0247.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.092.9032.5%
BTTS – yes1.751.7353.9%
BTTS – no2.052.0246.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Levski Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Plzeň 30th (3 points), Levski Sofia 10th (7 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Plzeň 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
  • Absences: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.

Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?

Plzeň55%
Draw25%
Levski Sofia20%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: more betting tips

Plzeň or draw (1X)79.7% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.0% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Plzeň to win55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.78
Possible
Both teams to score: yes53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams to score: no46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.09
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 4.00
Outsider
Levski Sofia to win20.3% · fair odds 4.92 · best 4.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.10 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.2%
1 : 011.2%
2 : 19.8%
2 : 09.8%
0 : 16.4%
0 : 06.4%

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: injuries and missing players

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Levski Sofia

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica44-0-013:312
2Bournemouth44-0-011:212
3Ferencvárosi TC44-0-011:312
4Union Saint-Gilloise43-1-010:210
5Juventus43-1-011:410
6Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
7Bayer Leverkusen43-0-18:19
8Beşiktaş42-1-111:87
9Dinamo Zagreb42-1-15:47
10Levski Sofia42-1-14:37
11Sunderland42-1-14:47
12NEC Nijmegen42-1-18:97
13Lyon42-1-16:77
14AZ Alkmaar42-0-27:46
15Anderlecht42-0-26:36
16OFI42-0-25:46
17Rennes41-3-04:36
18Omonia Nicosia42-0-26:76
19Torreense42-0-27:96
20Real Sociedad41-2-19:45
21Crystal Palace41-2-19:65
22Sparta Praha41-1-26:64
231899 Hoffenheim41-1-26:64
24Sturm Graz41-1-23:64
25Celje41-1-25:94
26Red Bull Salzburg41-1-23:84
27Celta Vigo41-0-34:63
28AC Milan41-0-34:73
29Jagiellonia41-0-34:73
30Plzeň41-0-33:73
31Marseille41-0-32:63
32Celtic41-0-36:113
33Hapoel Beer Sheva40-1-31:81
34Lillestrøm40-1-32:101
35Lech Poznań40-1-32:121
36Ararat-Armenia40-0-44:140

Recent matches

Plzeň

5 NovWLillestrøm 0–1 Plzeň
1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Levski Sofia

5 NovWLevski Sofia 1–0 Jagiellonia
22 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
15 OctDNEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia
17 SeptLLevski Sofia 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg

Home and away

Plzeň at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–5
Levski Sofia away2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 3–2

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: last matches of both teams

Plzeň

W 5/11/26 · Lillestrøm 0–1 Plzeň
W 1/11/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
L 25/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Pardubice
W 18/10/26 · FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Levski Sofia

W 5/11/26 · Levski Sofia 1–0 Jagiellonia
D 15/10/26 · NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia
L 17/9/26 · Levski Sofia 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg

Head to head

All matches
0Plzeň
0Draws
1Levski Sofia
22/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?

Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Plzeň to win (1.78).

Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?

Our estimate gives Plzeň a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levski Sofia 20%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Alejandro Hernández.

Who will be missing?

Plzeň: no absences. Levski Sofia: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.10).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 1–0 (11.2%) and 2–1 (9.8%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.