Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner), Plzeň take on Pardubice, with Daniel Vokoun in charge. We make Plzeň (56%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Plzeň lie 10th, having collected 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L); Pardubice lie 12th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Plzeň average 2.1 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.5 against for Pardubice.
- Form in the competition. Plzeň: 4W 4D 3L, goals 23–19; Pardubice: 3W 2D 6L, goals 12–16.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Plzeň have taken 8 wins to Pardubice's 3 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 27–13.
What to expect
In our view Plzeň hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Plzeň 8 wins, 2 draws, Pardubice 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Plzeň 23–19, Pardubice 12–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Plzeň: no absences. Pardubice will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.69 | 4.31 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.64 | 4.02 | 4.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.59 | 3.71 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.28 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 16:54. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Pardubice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Plzeň 10th (19 points), Pardubice 12th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Plzeň 4W 4D 3L (23:19), Pardubice 3W 2D 6L (12:16).
- H2H: 13 matches: Plzeň 8W 2D 3L, goals 27–13.
- Absences: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.
Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Plzeň vs Pardubice: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Plzeň vs Pardubice: injuries and missing players
Plzeň
- No reported absences
Pardubice
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mladá Boleslav | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 10 | Plzeň | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 13 | 2-4-7 | 14:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlín | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
Recent matches
Plzeň
Home and away
Plzeň vs Pardubice: last matches of both teams
Plzeň
Pardubice
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PlzeňWLWWLPardubiceLWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Plzeň vs Pardubice?
Over 2.5 goals (1.65); Plzeň to win (1.69).
Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?
Our estimate gives Plzeň a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pardubice 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Daniel Vokoun.
Who will be missing?
Plzeň: no absences. Pardubice: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.39).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.2%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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