Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň, 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm), with Radoslav Gidzhenov officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Plzeň win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Plzeň lose.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lillestrøm lie 34th, having collected 1 point after 4 matches (0W 1D 3L); Plzeň lie 30th, having collected 3 points (1W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lillestrøm average 0.8 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.2 against for Plzeň.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–10; Plzeň: 1W 0D 4L, goals 7–11.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lillestrøm 4–10, Plzeň 7–11.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Lillestrøm 2, Plzeň 2.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.61). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lillestrøm: E. B. Garnas, C. Jebara. Plzeň will be without: V. Jemelka, M. Tvrdon. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.99 | 3.90 | 2.32 |
| Market average | 2.89 | 3.75 | 2.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.43 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.54 | 36.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 34th (1 point), Plzeň 30th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 1W 2D 2L (4:10), Plzeň 1W 0D 4L (7:11).
- Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Plzeň 2.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: injuries and missing players
Lillestrøm
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Jebaragroin injury · will miss the match
Plzeň
- V. Jemelkaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Tvrdonnot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: last matches of both teams
Lillestrøm
Plzeň
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LillestrømLLDLPlzeňWLLLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?
Plzeň +0 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?
Our estimate gives Lillestrøm a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Plzeň 42%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Radoslav Gidzhenov.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: E. B. Garnas, C. Jebara. Plzeň: V. Jemelka, M. Tvrdon. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.61) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (8.9%) and 2–1 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.