Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Villarreal welcome Espanyol on 30 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal), and the referee is José María Sánchez Martínez. Villarreal (68%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Villarreal lie 10th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); Espanyol lie 14th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Villarreal average 1.5 goals for and 1.4 against, compared with 1.2 for and 1.4 against for Espanyol.
- Form in the competition. Villarreal: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–14; Espanyol: 2W 2D 6L, goals 12–14.
- Head to head. In 29 previous meetings, Villarreal have taken 14 wins to Espanyol's 5 wins, plus 10 draws; the goal tally stands at 45–28.
What to expect
In our view Villarreal hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 29; Villarreal 14 wins, 10 draws, Espanyol 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Villarreal 15–14, Espanyol 12–14.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Espanyol will be without: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.45 | 5.43 | 7.63 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.15 | 6.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.45 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.75 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.12 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.21 | 42.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 10th (12 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Villarreal 3W 3D 4L (15:14), Espanyol 2W 2D 6L (12:14).
- H2H: 29 matches: Villarreal 14W 10D 5L, goals 45–28.
- Absences: Villarreal 3, Espanyol 5.
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Villarreal vs Espanyol: injuries and missing players
Villarreal
- I. Akhomachmuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Gueyered card · will miss the match
- N. Salibainjury · will miss the match
Espanyol
- K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
- U. Gonzalezabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gorosabelabsence · will miss the match
- Jofregroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Riedelabsence · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Espanyol: last matches of both teams
Villarreal
Espanyol
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
VillarrealLWDLWEspanyolWLLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Villarreal to win (1.45).
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Our estimate gives Villarreal a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Espanyol 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: I. Akhomach, P. Gueye, N. Saliba. Espanyol: K. Garcia, U. Gonzalez, A. Gorosabel, Jofre, C. Riedel. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.82).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.6%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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