Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez), Rodez take on Montpellier, with Geoffrey Kubler in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Montpellier win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Montpellier lose.
Rodez vs Montpellier: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rodez lie 13th, having collected 13 points after 11 matches (4W 1D 6L); Montpellier lie 3rd, having collected 24 points (7W 3D 2L).
What to expect
In our view Montpellier hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rodez: no absences. Montpellier will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rodez vs Montpellier: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.24 |
| Market average | 3.07 | 3.57 | 2.11 |
| Lowest odds | 2.66 | 3.24 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.43 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 19/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rodez 13th (13 points), Montpellier 3rd (24 points).
- Absences: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rodez vs Montpellier: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rodez vs Montpellier: injuries and missing players
Rodez
- No reported absences
Montpellier
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Rodez
Home and away
Rodez vs Montpellier: last matches of both teams
Rodez
Montpellier
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Montpellier -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.99); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
Our estimate gives Rodez a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Montpellier 44%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 19 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.
Who will be missing?
Rodez: no absences. Montpellier: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.1%), then 1–2 (9.1%) and 0–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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