Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria, 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen), with Valerio Crezzini, Italy officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Sampdoria win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Sampdoria lose.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Südtirol lie 10th, having collected 14 points after 10 matches (3W 5D 2L); Sampdoria lie 19th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Südtirol have taken 4 wins to Sampdoria's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–7.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Südtirol, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 4 wins, 2 draws, Sampdoria 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Südtirol: no absences. Sampdoria will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.06 | 3.13 | 2.70 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.74 | 24.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 11:23. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–7.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: injuries and missing players
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: last matches of both teams
Südtirol
Sampdoria
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
Sampdoria +0 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?
Our estimate gives Südtirol a 32% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sampdoria 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Valerio Crezzini, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.17) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–0 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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