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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11 · 1 November 2026 · 13:30

Telstar vs Utrecht: prediction, odds and betting tip – 1 November 2026, Eredivisie

WLLDL
4–2
LDWWL
1Telstar3.44
XDraw3.90
2Utrecht2.17

Top price available · Updated 1/11/26, 13:02

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Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 1 November 2026 · 13:30 at Sportpark Schoonenberg (Felsen), Telstar take on Utrecht, with Richard Martens in charge. We make Utrecht (46%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Telstar vs Utrecht: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Telstar +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Chance 54% · confidence medium

Wins: Telstar win, a draw. Loses: Telstar lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
Chance 62% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Utrecht (X2) at a probability of 71%, with odds of up to 1.36.
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Telstar vs Utrecht: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Telstar lie 16th, having collected 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L); Utrecht lie 12th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Telstar average 1.2 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 1.7 for and 2.7 against for Utrecht.
  3. Form in the competition. Telstar: 1W 3D 6L, goals 12–21; Utrecht: 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–27.
  4. Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Telstar have taken 1 win to Utrecht's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 6–7.

What to expect

In our view Utrecht hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 3; Telstar 1 win, 1 draw, Utrecht 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 4.3 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Telstar 12–21, Utrecht 17–27.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
  5. Unavailable: Telstar 0, Utrecht 6.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Telstar: no absences. Utrecht will be without: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Telstar vs Utrecht: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.443.902.17
Market average3.243.732.07
Lowest odds2.823.332.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5760.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3540.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.4238.9%
BTTS – yes1.501.4962.4%
BTTS – no2.552.4737.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:02. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Telstar 1–1 Utrecht, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Telstar 16th (9 points), Utrecht 12th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Telstar 1W 3D 6L (12:21), Utrecht 3W 3D 4L (17:27).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Telstar 1W 1D 1L, goals 6–7.
  • Absences: Telstar 0, Utrecht 6.

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

Telstar29%
Draw25%
Utrecht46%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Telstar vs Utrecht: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Utrecht (X2)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams to score: yes62.4% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Likely
Utrecht to win45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.17
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.56
Outsider
Both teams to score: no37.6% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.55
Outsider
Telstar to win29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.44
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.2%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.3%
0 : 17.9%
2 : 17.2%
0 : 26.9%
2 : 26.3%

Telstar vs Utrecht: injuries and missing players

Telstar

  • No reported absences

Utrecht

  • A. Engwandahamstring injury · will miss the match
  • V. Jensenknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Jonathansknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Ohioknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Paredesknee injury · will miss the match
  • V. Barkasnot in the squad · doubtful

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13PEC Zwolle123-3-613:2412
14NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II120-3-911:403

Recent matches

Telstar

1 NovWTelstar 4–2 Utrecht
23 OctLGO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar
17 OctLTelstar 3–4 Feyenoord
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
20 SeptLAZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar

Utrecht

1 NovLTelstar 4–2 Utrecht
24 OctDUtrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
18 OctWTwente 1–2 Utrecht
11 OctWUtrecht 3–1 Willem II
20 SeptLFeyenoord 5–0 Utrecht

Home and away

Telstar at home6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 12–17
Utrecht away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 10–16

Telstar vs Utrecht: last matches of both teams

Telstar

L 23/10/26 · GO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar
L 17/10/26 · Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord
D 11/10/26 · Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
L 20/9/26 · AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar

Utrecht

D 24/10/26 · Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
W 18/10/26 · Twente 1–2 Utrecht
W 11/10/26 · Utrecht 3–1 Willem II
L 20/9/26 · Feyenoord 5–0 Utrecht

Team comparison

TelstarUtrecht
17%Form83%
47%Attack53%
47%Defence53%
20%Head to head80%
29%Goals71%
34.5%Overall65.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

TelstarWLLDL
UtrechtLDWWL

Head to head

All matches
1Telstar
1Draws
1Utrecht
1/11/26 · Telstar 4–2 Utrecht
11/4/26 · Utrecht 4–1 Telstar
23/11/25 · Telstar 1–1 Utrecht

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Telstar vs Utrecht?

Telstar +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

Our estimate gives Telstar a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Utrecht 46%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 13:30, venue Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen. Referee: Richard Martens.

Who will be missing?

Telstar: no absences. Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.50).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 NovTwente vs Ajax 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.