Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:30 at Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht), Utrecht take on PEC Zwolle, with Martijn Vos in charge. We make Utrecht (57%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: PEC Zwolle win, a draw. Stake back: PEC Zwolle lose by 1. Loses: PEC Zwolle lose by 2 or more.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Utrecht lie 12th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); PEC Zwolle lie 13th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Utrecht average 1.8 goals for and 2.9 against, compared with 1.1 for and 2.4 against for PEC Zwolle.
- Form in the competition. Utrecht: 3W 2D 4L, goals 16–26; PEC Zwolle: 2W 1D 6L, goals 10–22.
- Head to head. In 31 previous meetings, Utrecht have taken 14 wins to PEC Zwolle's 5 wins, plus 12 draws; the goal tally stands at 58–38.
What to expect
In our view Utrecht hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 31; Utrecht 14 wins, 12 draws, PEC Zwolle 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Utrecht 16–26, PEC Zwolle 10–22.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Utrecht 8, PEC Zwolle 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas, M. Broholm, A. Stepanov. PEC Zwolle will be without: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, Y. Namli. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.70 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 4.14 | 4.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.30 | 40.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Utrecht 2–1 PEC Zwolle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Utrecht 12th (12 points), PEC Zwolle 13th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Utrecht 3W 2D 4L (16:26), PEC Zwolle 2W 1D 6L (10:22).
- H2H: 31 matches: Utrecht 14W 12D 5L, goals 58–38.
- Absences: Utrecht 8, PEC Zwolle 3.
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: injuries and missing players
Utrecht
- A. Engwandahamstring injury · will miss the match
- V. Jensenknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Jonathansknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Ohioknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Paredesknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Barkasnot in the squad · doubtful
- M. Broholmnot in the squad · doubtful
- A. Stepanovankle injury · doubtful
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Namliknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Utrecht
Home and away
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: last matches of both teams
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
UtrechtLDWWLPEC ZwolleDWDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
PEC Zwolle +1 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Our estimate gives Utrecht a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PEC Zwolle 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht. Referee: Martijn Vos.
Who will be missing?
Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas, M. Broholm, A. Stepanov. PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, Y. Namli. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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