Our tip for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie, 7 November 2026, 17:45): Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.72. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.50. The bookmakers' odds give ADO Den Haag 38%, the draw 26% and Sparta Rotterdam 36%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Sparta Rotterdam win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Sparta Rotterdam lose.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam preview and prediction
ADO Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam at the WerkTalent Stadion on 7 November 2026. Both sides sit in the lower half of the Eredivisie table, with ADO struggling at 17th place and Sparta occupying 11th. The match offers a chance for Sparta to extend its recent run of points on the road, while ADO will look to break a poor home record and climb out of the relegation zone.
Form of ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam
In the league ADO Den Haag have collected 6 points from 11 matches (1‑3‑7), scoring 13 and conceding 24, which equals 1.2 goals per game and 2.2 goals against. At home the team has managed 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 12 conceded.
Sparta Rotterdam sit on 12 points from 11 games (3‑3‑5), with 20 goals for and 26 against – 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Their away form shows 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 11 and letting in 12.
Recent results underline the contrast. ADO’s last five matches are a 1‑0 loss to PEC Zwolle, a 2‑3 defeat at Heerenveen, a 2‑1 win over PSV Eindhoven, a 2‑2 draw with Telstar and a 1‑1 draw with Cambuur. Sparta’s last five comprise a 3‑2 win at Groningen, a 1‑2 loss to Ajax, a 3‑2 victory over Willem II, a 3‑3 draw with GO Ahead Eagles and a 0‑4 defeat at Heerenveen.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: head to head
In the last 16 meetings Sparta have the edge with 8 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 27 goals to ADO’s 14. The most recent clash on 12 July 2025 ended 0‑2 in favour of Sparta, and the previous encounter on 19 March 2025 also finished 0‑2 to the visitors.
Other recent meetings include a 1‑1 draw in July 2024, a 2‑0 win for ADO in December 2023, a 1‑2 loss for ADO in August 2023 and a 0‑3 defeat in December 2022.
Absences
- ADO Den Haag: none reported
- Sparta Rotterdam: none reported
Odds and handicap lines
Bookmakers give ADO Den Haag a 39 % chance to win (best odds 2.52), a 26 % chance of a draw (best odds 3.70) and a 35 % chance to lose (best odds 2.80). The Asian handicap market shows Sparta at +0.25 with a 55 % implied probability (odds 1.78), while the opposite line (ADO –0.25) carries a 45 % probability (odds 2.19).
Other handicap options highlight Sparta’s slight edge: +0.5 at 60 % (odds 1.60) and +0.75 at 67 % (odds 1.45). The draw‑no‑bet market also favours Sparta, with a 60 % implied chance on the +0.5 line.
Our main tip and second tip
Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap) – odds 1.78, chance 55 %. Sparta’s superior away record (2‑1‑2) and higher win probability on the +0.25 line justify the selection despite ADO’s home win percentage of 25 %.
Both teams to score – odds 1.50, chance 63 %. Both sides have averaged over one goal per game (ADO 1.2, Sparta 1.8) and the expected goals model predicts 2 goals for each, supporting a high likelihood of both finding the net.
Other bets worth a look
- Value alternative: Under 3.5 goals – odds 1.60, chance 60 %.
- Over 1.5 goals: chance 81 % (odds 1.19) – a very safe option.
- Over 2.5 goals: chance 60 % (odds 1.60) – aligns with the expected total of about 4 goals.
- Most likely exact scores: 1‑1 (10.8 %), 2‑1 (8.6 %), 1‑2 (8.1 %).
With Sparta holding a statistical edge in the handicap market and both teams likely to score, the match promises at least a couple of goals and a chance for Sparta to secure a narrow advantage.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.57 | 2.62 |
| Lowest odds | 2.34 | 3.35 | 2.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.38 | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.37 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 7L (13:24), Sparta Rotterdam 3W 3D 5L (20:26).
- H2H: 16 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 4D 8L, goals 14–27.
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: injuries and missing players
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 | |
| 18 | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: last matches of both teams
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Sparta Rotterdam +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our estimate gives ADO Den Haag a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sparta Rotterdam 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Bingoal Stadion, The Hague.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: no absences. Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.0%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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