Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede), Twente take on Pafos, with Michal Očenáš, Slovakia in charge. We make Twente (76%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Twente win by 2 or more. Loses: Twente win by 1, a draw, Twente lose.
Twente vs Pafos: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Twente lie 3rd, having collected 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L); Pafos lie 30th, having collected 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Twente average 3.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.8 for and 1.8 against for Pafos.
- Form in the competition. Twente: 4W 1D 1L, goals 18–6; Pafos: 1W 2D 1L, goals 7–7.
What to expect
In our view Twente hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (8.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.27), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 77%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Twente 18–6, Pafos 7–7.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 77%.
- Unavailable: Twente 0, Pafos 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.68). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Twente: no absences. Pafos will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Twente vs Pafos: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.27 | 7.20 | 10.90 |
| Market average | 1.24 | 6.74 | 9.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 6.00 | 7.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.06 | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 76.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.00 | 23.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Twente 2–1 Pafos, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Twente 3rd (9 points), Pafos 30th (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Twente 4W 1D 1L (18:6), Pafos 1W 2D 1L (7:7).
- Absences: Twente 0, Pafos 0.
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Twente vs Pafos: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Twente vs Pafos: injuries and missing players
Twente
- No reported absences
Pafos
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Twente
Home and away
Twente vs Pafos: last matches of both teams
Twente
Pafos
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
TwenteWWWPafosLDLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Twente vs Pafos?
Twente -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.70); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
Our estimate gives Twente a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Pafos 10%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue De Grolsch Veste, Enschede. Referee: Michal Očenáš, Slovakia.
Who will be missing?
Twente: no absences. Pafos: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 77% (odds 1.25) and under 2.5 goals at 23% (odds 4.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (8.4%), then 3–1 (8.2%) and 2–0 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.