Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–9. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Excelsior welcome Twente on 1 November 2026 · 13:30 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam), and the referee is Erwin Blank. Twente (63%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Excelsior win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Excelsior lose by 1. Loses: Excelsior lose by 2 or more.
Excelsior vs Twente: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Excelsior lie 15th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Twente lie 4th, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Excelsior average 1.6 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.0 against for Twente.
- Form in the competition. Excelsior: 3W 2D 5L, goals 16–19; Twente: 6W 2D 2L, goals 19–10.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Excelsior have taken 5 wins to Twente's 8 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–35.
What to expect
In our view Twente hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Excelsior 5 wins, 6 draws, Twente 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Excelsior 16–19, Twente 19–10.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: Excelsior 0, Twente 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Excelsior: no absences. Twente will be without: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, D. Weidmann, L. Unnerstall, B. van Rooij. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Excelsior vs Twente: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.50 | 4.90 | 1.53 |
| Market average | 5.82 | 4.61 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.32 | 4.20 | 1.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.15 | 43.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.27 | 40.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:02. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Excelsior 1–2 Twente, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Excelsior 15th (11 points), Twente 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Excelsior 3W 2D 5L (16:19), Twente 6W 2D 2L (19:10).
- H2H: 19 matches: Excelsior 5W 6D 8L, goals 18–35.
- Absences: Excelsior 0, Twente 6.
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Excelsior vs Twente: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Excelsior vs Twente: injuries and missing players
Excelsior
- No reported absences
Twente
- M. Brunsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Lemkinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Thorvaldsennot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Weidmannred card · will miss the match
- L. Unnerstallnot in the squad · doubtful
- B. van Rooijinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Excelsior
Home and away
Excelsior vs Twente: last matches of both teams
Excelsior
Twente
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ExcelsiorLLLLDTwenteWWLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Excelsior vs Twente?
Excelsior +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
Our estimate gives Excelsior a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Twente 63%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 13:30, venue Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam. Referee: Erwin Blank.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior: no absences. Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, D. Weidmann, L. Unnerstall, B. van Rooij. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.8%), then 0–2 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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