Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga, 21 November 2026, 14:30): RB Leipzig -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.89. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47. The bookmakers' odds give Union Berlin 22%, the draw 22% and RB Leipzig 57%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: RB Leipzig win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): RB Leipzig win by 1. Loses: a draw, RB Leipzig lose.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Union Berlin lie 16th, having collected 7 points after 8 matches (1W 4D 3L); RB Leipzig lie 4th, having collected 15 points (5W 0D 3L).
What to expect
In our view RB Leipzig hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Union Berlin 0, RB Leipzig 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 64%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Union Berlin: no absences. RB Leipzig will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.57 | 4.62 | 1.72 |
| Market average | 4.37 | 4.30 | 1.66 |
| Lowest odds | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.84 | 2.79 | 33.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.11 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 64.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.59 | 36.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Union Berlin 1–2 RB Leipzig, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Berlin 16th (7 points), RB Leipzig 4th (15 points).
- Absences: Union Berlin 0, RB Leipzig 0.
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: injuries and missing players
Union Berlin
- No reported absences
RB Leipzig
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Berlin
Home and away
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: last matches of both teams
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Our estimate gives Union Berlin a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and RB Leipzig 57%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 14:30, venue Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin.
Who will be missing?
Union Berlin: no absences. RB Leipzig: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.84).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.2%) and 0–2 (7.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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