Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF, 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Hitachi Energy Arena (Westeros), with Fredrik Klitte officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Västerås SK FK lie 6th, having collected 44 points after 27 matches (13W 5D 9L); Mjällby AIF lie 12th, having collected 27 points (6W 9D 12L).
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Västerås SK FK have taken 2 wins to Mjällby AIF's 3 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 7–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Västerås SK FK 2 wins, 2 draws, Mjällby AIF 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Västerås SK FK 0, Mjällby AIF 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Västerås SK FK: no absences. Mjällby AIF will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.41 | 3.46 | 2.96 |
| Market average | 2.35 | 3.36 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.79 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.98 | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.09 | 2.91 | 31.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 08:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Västerås SK FK 1–1 Mjällby AIF, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Västerås SK FK 6th (44 points), Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Västerås SK FK 2W 2D 3L, goals 7–9.
- Absences: Västerås SK FK 0, Mjällby AIF 0.
Who will win Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: injuries and missing players
Västerås SK FK
- No reported absences
Mjällby AIF
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 28 | 18-4-6 | 60:23 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12-10-6 | 42:31 | 46 |
| 6 | Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Västerås SK FK
Home and away
Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: last matches of both teams
Västerås SK FK
Mjällby AIF
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF?
Over 2.5 goals (1.85); Västerås SK FK or draw (1X) (1.40).
Who will win Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF?
Our estimate gives Västerås SK FK a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mjällby AIF 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 13:00, venue Hitachi Energy Arena, Westeros. Referee: Fredrik Klitte.
Who will be missing?
Västerås SK FK: no absences. Mjällby AIF: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 1–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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