Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag welcome Heerenveen on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), and the referee is Jannick van der Laan. Heerenveen (48%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. ADO Den Haag lie 17th, having collected 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L); Heerenveen lie 7th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, ADO Den Haag average 1.2 goals for and 2.2 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.2 against for Heerenveen.
- Form in the competition. ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 5L, goals 11–20; Heerenveen: 3W 3D 3L, goals 15–11.
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, ADO Den Haag have taken 4 wins to Heerenveen's 10 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 24–36.
What to expect
In our view Heerenveen hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 66%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; ADO Den Haag 4 wins, 9 draws, Heerenveen 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: ADO Den Haag 11–20, Heerenveen 15–11.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Heerenveen will be without: D. Proper. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.53 | 4.00 | 2.03 |
| Market average | 3.39 | 3.86 | 1.99 |
| Lowest odds | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.44 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.68 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 5L (11:20), Heerenveen 3W 3D 3L (15:11).
- H2H: 23 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 9D 10L, goals 24–36.
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 2, Heerenveen 1.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: injuries and missing players
ADO Den Haag
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
- D. Baranythigh injury · doubtful
Heerenveen
- D. Properhamstring injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: last matches of both teams
ADO Den Haag
Heerenveen
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ADO Den HaagLLWDDHeerenveenWWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Over 2.5 goals (1.50); Heerenveen to win (2.03).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Our estimate gives ADO Den Haag a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Heerenveen 48%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: L. Reischl, D. Barany. Heerenveen: D. Proper. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.7%), then 1–2 (9.2%) and 2–1 (7.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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