Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag welcome PSV Eindhoven on 17 October 2026 · 15:30 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), and the referee is Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands. PSV Eindhoven (74%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: PSV Eindhoven win by 2 or more. Loses: PSV Eindhoven win by 1, a draw, PSV Eindhoven lose.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. ADO Den Haag lie 17th, having collected 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L); PSV Eindhoven lie 3rd, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
In our view PSV Eindhoven hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (8.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.28), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 74%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
- Unavailable: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.76). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 10.00 | 6.76 | 1.28 |
| Market average | 8.78 | 6.35 | 1.26 |
| Lowest odds | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.79 | 3.57 | 26.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 13:34. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: injuries and missing players
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 | |
| 18 | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: last matches of both teams
ADO Den Haag
PSV Eindhoven
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our estimate gives ADO Den Haag a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and PSV Eindhoven 74%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 26% (odds 3.79).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (8.6%), then 0–2 (8.2%) and 1–3 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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