Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 11:15 at MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle), PEC Zwolle take on ADO Den Haag, with Jeroen Manschot in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: ADO Den Haag win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: ADO Den Haag lose.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. PEC Zwolle lie 13th, having collected 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L); ADO Den Haag lie 17th, having collected 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, PEC Zwolle average 1.1 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 1.3 for and 2.3 against for ADO Den Haag.
- Form in the competition. PEC Zwolle: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–23; ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 6L, goals 13–23.
- Head to head. In 20 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have taken 11 wins to ADO Den Haag's 7 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 37–27.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 20; PEC Zwolle 11 wins, 2 draws, ADO Den Haag 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: PEC Zwolle 11–23, ADO Den Haag 13–23.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.59). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. ADO Den Haag will be without: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.31 | 3.83 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.24 | 3.63 | 2.90 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.29 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.33 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 06:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: PEC Zwolle 1–1 ADO Den Haag, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: PEC Zwolle 13th (12 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: PEC Zwolle 2W 2D 6L (11:23), ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 6L (13:23).
- H2H: 20 matches: PEC Zwolle 11W 2D 7L, goals 37–27.
- Absences: PEC Zwolle 2, ADO Den Haag 2.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: injuries and missing players
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
ADO Den Haag
- D. Baranythigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Reischlgroin injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
PEC Zwolle
Home and away
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: last matches of both teams
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PEC ZwolleDWDWLADO Den HaagLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
ADO Den Haag +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
Our estimate gives PEC Zwolle a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ADO Den Haag 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 11:15, venue MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. Referee: Jeroen Manschot.
Who will be missing?
PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev. ADO Den Haag: D. Barany, L. Reischl. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.64) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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