Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Arezzo vs Ascoli, 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Città di Arezzo (Arezzo), with Mattia Drigo officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Arezzo lie 13th, having collected 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L); Ascoli lie 2nd, having collected 20 points (5W 5D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Arezzo average 1.0 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 1.8 for and 0.7 against for Ascoli.
- Form in the competition. Arezzo: 3W 1D 5L, goals 9–19; Ascoli: 5W 3D 1L, goals 16–6.
- Head to head. In 6 previous meetings, Arezzo have taken 2 wins to Ascoli's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–5.
What to expect
In our view Ascoli hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.2%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 6; Arezzo 2 wins, 2 draws, Ascoli 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Arezzo 9–19, Ascoli 16–6.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Arezzo 0, Ascoli 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.94). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Arezzo: no absences. Ascoli will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.70 | 3.47 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.41 | 3.34 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.19 | 3.19 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.25 | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.92 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.11 | 2.06 | 45.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Arezzo 1–1 Ascoli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Arezzo 13th (11 points), Ascoli 2nd (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Arezzo 3W 1D 5L (9:19), Ascoli 5W 3D 1L (16:6).
- H2H: 6 matches: Arezzo 2W 2D 2L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Arezzo 0, Ascoli 0.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Arezzo vs Ascoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Arezzo vs Ascoli: injuries and missing players
Arezzo
- No reported absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Arezzo
Home and away
Arezzo vs Ascoli: last matches of both teams
Arezzo
Ascoli
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ArezzoDLLWDAscoliDDWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Over 2.5 goals (1.94); Draw or Ascoli (X2) (1.34).
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Our estimate gives Arezzo a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ascoli 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Arezzo: no absences. Ascoli: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.94) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.2%), then 0–1 (10.6%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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