Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara), Carrarese take on Arezzo, with Maco Di Loreto in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Arezzo win, a draw. Loses: Arezzo lose.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Carrarese lie 15th, having collected 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L); Arezzo lie 13th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Carrarese average 0.9 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.0 for and 2.1 against for Arezzo.
- Form in the competition. Carrarese: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–9; Arezzo: 3W 1D 4L, goals 8–17.
- Head to head. In 10 previous meetings, Carrarese have taken 3 wins to Arezzo's 4 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–16.
What to expect
In our view Carrarese hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 10; Carrarese 3 wins, 3 draws, Arezzo 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Carrarese 7–9, Arezzo 8–17.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Carrarese: no absences. Arezzo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.15 | 3.24 | 3.85 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.18 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.21 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Carrarese 1–1 Arezzo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Carrarese 15th (10 points), Arezzo 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Carrarese 2W 1D 5L (7:9), Arezzo 3W 1D 4L (8:17).
- H2H: 10 matches: Carrarese 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–16.
- Absences: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Carrarese vs Arezzo: injuries and missing players
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Arezzo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Carrarese
Home and away
Carrarese vs Arezzo: last matches of both teams
Carrarese
Arezzo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CarrareseLWLWWArezzoDLLWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Arezzo +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Our estimate gives Carrarese a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Arezzo 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. Referee: Maco Di Loreto.
Who will be missing?
Carrarese: no absences. Arezzo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.98) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.3%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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