Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield), Chesterfield take on Crewe, with W. Davis in charge. We make Chesterfield (54%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Chesterfield win. Loses: a draw, Chesterfield lose.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Chesterfield lie 10th, having collected 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L); Crewe lie 4th, having collected 22 points (5W 7D 2L).
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Chesterfield have taken 7 wins to Crewe's 4 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 26–23.
What to expect
In our view Chesterfield hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Chesterfield 7 wins, 2 draws, Crewe 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.8 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Chesterfield 0, Crewe 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Chesterfield: no absences. Crewe will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.83 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.79 | 4.33 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.16 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.57 | 36.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Chesterfield 1–1 Crewe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
- H2H: 13 matches: Chesterfield 7W 2D 4L, goals 26–23.
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Crewe 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Chesterfield vs Crewe: injuries and missing players
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Crewe
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Chesterfield
Home and away
Chesterfield vs Crewe: last matches of both teams
Chesterfield
Crewe
Head to head
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Chesterfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Our estimate gives Chesterfield a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Crewe 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: W. Davis.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Crewe: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.7%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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