Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cambuur welcome AZ Alkmaar on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden), and the referee is Stan Teuben. AZ Alkmaar (65%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Cambuur win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Cambuur lose by 1. Loses: Cambuur lose by 2 or more.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cambuur lie 9th, having collected 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L); AZ Alkmaar lie 5th, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
What to expect
In our view AZ Alkmaar hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cambuur: no absences. AZ Alkmaar will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.50 | 5.15 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.14 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.87 | 32.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cambuur 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cambuur 9th (15 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
- Absences: Cambuur 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: injuries and missing players
Cambuur
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Cambuur
Home and away
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: last matches of both teams
Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Cambuur +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our estimate gives Cambuur a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AZ Alkmaar 65%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 13:30, venue Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. Referee: Stan Teuben.
Who will be missing?
Cambuur: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.08).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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